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British columbia


Courtenay-Comox


MLA: Ronna-Rae Leonard (NDP)


Latest projection: December 5, 2023

NDP safe
Courtenay-Comox 49% ± 9% 19% ± 7%▲ 16% ± 6%▼ 16% ± 5% NDP 2020 50.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 5, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Courtenay-Comox >99% <1% <1% Odds of winning | December 5, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Courtenay-Comox

BCU 16% ± 5% BCC 19% ± 7% NDP 49% ± 9% BCG 16% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Courtenay-Comox 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-05-01 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 BCU BCC NDP BCG

Odds of winning | Courtenay-Comox

BCU <1% NDP >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-05-01 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 BCU NDP

Recent electoral history | Courtenay-Comox



2017 2020 Proj. NDP 37.4% 50.6% 49% ± 9% BCU 36.7% 29.8% 16% ± 5% BCG 18.4% 19.6% 16% ± 6% BCC 7.6% 0.0% 19% ± 7%