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Courtenay-Comox

Latest update: December 20, 2025
C
MLA: Brennan Day
Conservative Party of BC
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Recent electoral history | Courtenay-Comox


2017 2020 2024 Projection NDP 38% ± 7% 37.4% 50.6% 38.6% CPBC 36% ± 7% 7.6% 0.0% 38.8% BCG 22% ± 6% 18.4% 19.6% 20.8% BCU 0% ± 0% 36.7% 29.8% 0.0%

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338Canada Courtenay-Comox projection

Latest update: December 20, 2025

Courtenay-Comox 30% 45% 38% ± 7% NDP 29% 44% 36% ± 7% ▼ CPBC 16% 29% 22% ± 6% ▲ BCG CPBC 2024 38.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Courtenay-Comox 60%▲ NDP 40%▼ CPBC <1% BCG Odds of winning | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Courtenay-Comox

BCU 0% ± 0% CPBC 36% ± 7% NDP 38% ± 7% BCG 22% ± 6% ONE 2% ± 2% CEN 0% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Courtenay-Comox 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Election 2024 BCU CPBC NDP BCG ONE CEN December 20, 2025 2024-03-26 NDP 46% CPBC 21% BCU 17% BCG 14% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP 46% CPBC 26% BCU 13% BCG 13% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP 44% CPBC 31% BCG 13% BCU 11% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP 46% CPBC 29% BCG 13% BCU 11% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP 46% CPBC 29% BCG 14% BCU 10% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP 44% CPBC 31% BCG 14% BCU 9% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP 45% CPBC 32% BCG 14% BCU 9% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP 46% CPBC 32% BCG 12% BCU 8% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NDP 49% CPBC 36% BCG 13% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP 50% CPBC 37% BCG 13% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NDP 50% CPBC 37% BCG 13% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP 50% CPBC 37% BCG 13% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP 49% CPBC 38% BCG 13% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP 49% CPBC 39% BCG 13% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NDP 49% CPBC 39% BCG 13% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NDP 49% CPBC 39% BCG 13% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 NDP 46% CPBC 38% BCG 12% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 NDP 45% CPBC 39% BCG 12% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NDP 45% CPBC 39% BCG 12% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 NDP 45% CPBC 39% BCG 12% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 NDP 45% CPBC 39% BCG 12% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 NDP 45% CPBC 39% BCG 12% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 NDP 45% CPBC 39% BCG 12% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 NDP 46% CPBC 38% BCG 12% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 NDP 46% CPBC 38% BCG 12% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 NDP 46% CPBC 38% BCG 12% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 NDP 46% CPBC 38% BCG 12% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 NDP 46% CPBC 39% BCG 12% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 NDP 46% CPBC 38% BCG 12% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 NDP 46% CPBC 38% BCG 12% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 NDP 45% CPBC 37% BCG 13% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 NDP 45% CPBC 37% BCG 13% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 NDP 46% CPBC 37% BCG 13% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 NDP 45% CPBC 37% BCG 14% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 NDP 45% CPBC 37% BCG 14% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 NDP 45% CPBC 37% BCG 14% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 CPBC 39% NDP 38% BCG 21% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 CPBC 39% NDP 39% BCG 21% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 CPBC 39% NDP 39% BCG 21% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 CPBC 39% NDP 39% BCG 21% ONE 2% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 CPBC 39% NDP 38% BCG 21% ONE 2% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 NDP 38% CPBC 37% BCG 21% ONE 2% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 NDP 38% CPBC 36% BCG 22% ONE 2% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-12-20

Odds of winning | Courtenay-Comox

BCU <1% CPBC 40% NDP 60% BCG <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Election 2024 CPBC NDP BCG December 20, 2025 2024-03-26 BCG 83% NDP 17% CPBC <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 BCG 83% NDP 17% CPBC <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 BCG 93% NDP 7% CPBC <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 BCG 80% NDP 20% CPBC <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 BCG 80% NDP 20% CPBC <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 BCG 80% NDP 20% CPBC <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 BCG 94% NDP 6% CPBC <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 BCG 64% NDP 36% CPBC <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 BCG 55% NDP 45% CPBC <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP 56% BCG 44% CPBC <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 NDP 98% CPBC 2% BCG <1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 NDP 98% CPBC 2% BCG <1% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 NDP 97% CPBC 3% BCG <1% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 NDP 96% CPBC 4% BCG <1% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 NDP 96% CPBC 4% BCG <1% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 NDP 95% CPBC 5% BCG <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 NDP 85% CPBC 15% BCG <1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 NDP 86% CPBC 14% BCG <1% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 NDP 85% CPBC 15% BCG <1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 NDP 84% CPBC 16% BCG <1% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 NDP 87% CPBC 13% BCG <1% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 NDP 89% CPBC 11% BCG <1% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 NDP 92% CPBC 8% BCG <1% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 NDP 93% CPBC 7% BCG <1% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 NDP 95% CPBC 5% BCG <1% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 NDP 93% CPBC 7% BCG <1% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 NDP 92% CPBC 8% BCG <1% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 NDP 94% CPBC 6% BCG <1% 2025-12-20 2024-03-26 NDP 93% CPBC 7% BCG <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP 93% CPBC 7% BCG <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP 94% CPBC 6% BCG <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP 95% CPBC 5% BCG <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP 93% CPBC 7% BCG <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP 93% CPBC 7% BCG <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP 93% CPBC 7% BCG <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 CPBC 59% NDP 41% BCG <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 CPBC 53% NDP 47% BCG <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 CPBC 51% NDP 49% BCG <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 CPBC 50% NDP 50% BCG <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 CPBC 57% NDP 43% BCG <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP 58% CPBC 42% BCG <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP 60% CPBC 40% BCG <1% 2024-09-26