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Recent electoral history | Kootenay Central


2017 2020 2024 Projection NDP 41% ± 8% 42.7% 42.0% 39.6% CPBC 31% ± 7% 0.0% 0.8% 31.7% BCG 21% ± 7% 27.0% 31.3% 18.7% ONE 3% ± 3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% BCU 0% ± 0% 28.8% 23.7% 0.0%

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338Canada Kootenay Central projection

Latest update: December 20, 2025

Kootenay Central 32% 49% 41% ± 8% NDP 24% 38% 31% ± 7% CPBC 15% 28% 21% ± 7% BCG NDP 2024 39.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Kootenay Central 94% NDP 6% CPBC <1% BCG Odds of winning | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Kootenay Central

BCU 0% ± 0% CPBC 31% ± 7% NDP 41% ± 8% BCG 21% ± 7% ONE 3% ± 3% CEN 0% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Kootenay Central 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Election 2024 BCU CPBC NDP BCG ONE CEN December 20, 2025 2024-03-26 NDP 39% BCG 25% CPBC 20% BCU 13% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP 38% CPBC 26% BCG 23% BCU 9% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP 36% CPBC 30% BCG 23% BCU 8% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP 37% CPBC 27% BCG 24% BCU 9% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP 37% CPBC 27% BCG 25% BCU 8% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP 36% CPBC 29% BCG 26% BCU 7% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP 36% CPBC 30% BCG 26% BCU 7% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP 37% CPBC 31% BCG 24% BCU 7% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NDP 39% CPBC 36% BCG 23% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP 41% CPBC 36% BCG 24% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NDP 41% CPBC 36% BCG 24% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP 40% CPBC 35% BCG 24% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP 41% CPBC 37% BCG 23% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP 41% CPBC 37% BCG 23% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NDP 41% CPBC 37% BCG 23% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NDP 41% CPBC 37% BCG 23% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 NDP 40% CPBC 37% BCG 22% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 NDP 41% CPBC 37% BCG 22% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NDP 41% CPBC 37% BCG 22% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 NDP 41% CPBC 37% BCG 22% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 NDP 41% CPBC 37% BCG 22% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 NDP 41% CPBC 37% BCG 22% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 NDP 41% CPBC 37% BCG 22% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 NDP 41% CPBC 36% BCG 22% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 NDP 42% CPBC 36% BCG 22% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 NDP 42% CPBC 35% BCG 22% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 NDP 42% CPBC 36% BCG 22% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 NDP 42% CPBC 36% BCG 22% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 NDP 42% CPBC 35% BCG 23% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 NDP 42% CPBC 35% BCG 23% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 NDP 41% CPBC 35% BCG 24% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 NDP 41% CPBC 35% BCG 24% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 NDP 41% CPBC 35% BCG 24% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 NDP 41% CPBC 35% BCG 24% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 NDP 41% CPBC 35% BCG 24% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 NDP 41% CPBC 35% BCG 24% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 NDP 39% CPBC 32% BCG 19% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 NDP 40% CPBC 32% BCG 19% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 NDP 40% CPBC 32% BCG 19% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 NDP 40% CPBC 32% BCG 19% ONE 10% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 NDP 39% CPBC 32% BCG 19% ONE 10% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 NDP 41% CPBC 31% BCG 20% ONE 3% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 NDP 41% CPBC 31% BCG 21% ONE 3% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-12-20

Odds of winning | Kootenay Central

BCU <1% CPBC 6% NDP 94% BCG <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Election 2024 CPBC NDP BCG December 20, 2025 2024-03-26 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NDP 99% BCG 1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP 99% BCG 1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP 99% BCG 1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NDP 98% CPBC 2% BCG <1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 NDP 85% CPBC 15% BCG <1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 NDP 95% CPBC 5% BCG <1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NDP 96% CPBC 4% BCG <1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 NDP 87% CPBC 12% BCG 1% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 NDP 85% CPBC 13% BCG 1% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 NDP 86% CPBC 14% BCG <1% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 NDP 70% CPBC 30% BCG <1% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 NDP 81% CPBC 19% BCG <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 NDP 80% CPBC 20% BCG <1% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 NDP 82% CPBC 18% BCG <1% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 NDP 76% CPBC 24% BCG <1% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 NDP 76% CPBC 24% BCG <1% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 NDP 76% CPBC 24% BCG <1% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 NDP 76% CPBC 24% BCG <1% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 NDP 71% CPBC 29% BCG <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 NDP 72% CPBC 28% BCG <1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 NDP 72% CPBC 28% BCG <1% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 NDP 72% CPBC 28% BCG <1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 NDP 71% CPBC 29% BCG <1% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 NDP 74% CPBC 26% BCG <1% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 NDP 76% CPBC 24% BCG <1% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 NDP 82% CPBC 18% BCG <1% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 NDP 83% CPBC 17% BCG <1% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 NDP 89% CPBC 11% BCG <1% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 NDP 86% CPBC 14% BCG <1% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 NDP 86% CPBC 14% BCG <1% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 NDP 89% CPBC 11% BCG <1% 2025-12-20 2024-03-26 NDP 89% CPBC 11% BCG <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP 88% CPBC 12% BCG <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP 87% CPBC 13% BCG <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP 87% CPBC 13% BCG <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP 86% CPBC 13% BCG <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP 87% CPBC 13% BCG <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP 86% CPBC 14% BCG <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP 98% CPBC 2% BCG <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NDP 98% CPBC 2% BCG <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP 94% CPBC 6% BCG <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NDP 91% CPBC 9% BCG <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP 88% CPBC 12% BCG <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP 94% CPBC 6% BCG <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP 94% CPBC 6% BCG <1% 2024-09-26