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British columbia

Recent electoral history | Surrey-Newton


2017 2020 2024 Projection NDP 48% ± 9% 57.6% 62.4% 51.2% CPBC 41% ± 8% 0.0% 0.0% 43.0% ONE 5% ± 5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% BCG 3% ± 3% 7.2% 7.5% 0.0% BCU 0% ± 0% 30.7% 29.9% 0.0%

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338Canada Surrey-Newton projection

Latest update: March 14, 2026

Surrey-Newton 39% 57% 48% ± 9% NDP 32% 49% 41% ± 8% CPBC 0% 10% 5% ± 5% ONE NDP 2024 51.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 14, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Surrey-Newton 86%▼ NDP 14%▲ CPBC <1% ONEOdds of winning | March 14, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada British Columbia Projection | Surrey-Newton

Odds of winning | Surrey-Newton