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Recent electoral history | Surrey-Newton


2017 2020 2024 Projection NDP 50% ± 8% 57.6% 62.4% 51.2% CPBC 41% ± 8% 0.0% 0.0% 43.0% ONE 3% ± 4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% BCG 3% ± 3% 7.2% 7.5% 0.0% BCU 0% ± 0% 30.7% 29.9% 0.0%

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338Canada Surrey-Newton projection

Latest update: August 17, 2026

Surrey-Newton 42% 59% 50% ± 8% NDP 33% 49% 41% ± 8% CPBC NDP 2024 51.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | August 17, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Surrey-Newton 91%▲ NDP 9%▼ CPBC <1% ONEOdds of winning | August 17, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada British Columbia Projection | Surrey-Newton

Odds of winning | Surrey-Newton