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Bulkley Valley-Stikine

Latest update: December 20, 2025
C
MLA: Sharon L. Hartwell
Conservative Party of BC
CPBC leaning
Projection — Bulkley Valley-Stikine → Regional projection — Northern BC → All British Columbia provincial districts → British Columbia projection map → British Columbia polls → Back to 338Canada British Columbia home → Riding roulette! →

Recent electoral history | Bulkley Valley-Stikine


2017 2020 2024 Projection CPBC 50% ± 11% 0.0% 0.0% 52.3% NDP 39% ± 10% 48.1% 51.8% 38.9% BCG 7% ± 5% 0.0% 0.0% 6.3% BCU 0% ± 0% 35.8% 26.3% 0.0%

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338Canada Bulkley Valley-Stikine projection

Latest update: December 20, 2025

Bulkley Valley-Stikine 39% 61% 50% ± 11% CPBC 28% 49% 39% ± 10% NDP 2% 12% 7% ± 5% BCG CPBC 2024 52.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Bulkley Valley-Stikine 90% CPBC 10% NDP <1% BCG Odds of winning | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Bulkley Valley-Stikine

BCU 0% ± 0% CPBC 50% ± 11% NDP 39% ± 10% BCG 7% ± 5% ONE 2% ± 3% CEN 0% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Bulkley Valley-Stikine 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Election 2024 BCU CPBC NDP BCG ONE CEN December 20, 2025 2024-03-26 NDP 50% CPBC 20% BCU 15% BCG 2% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP 49% CPBC 25% BCU 11% BCG 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP 47% CPBC 31% BCU 9% BCG 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP 48% CPBC 28% BCU 9% BCG 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP 48% CPBC 28% BCU 8% BCG 2% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP 47% CPBC 30% BCU 7% BCG 2% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP 47% CPBC 36% BCU 7% BCG 2% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP 48% CPBC 36% BCU 7% BCG 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NDP 50% CPBC 41% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP 55% CPBC 44% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NDP 55% CPBC 44% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP 55% CPBC 43% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP 55% CPBC 44% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP 55% CPBC 44% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NDP 55% CPBC 44% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NDP 55% CPBC 44% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 NDP 55% CPBC 42% BCG 3% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 NDP 55% CPBC 42% BCG 3% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NDP 55% CPBC 42% BCG 3% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 NDP 55% CPBC 42% BCG 3% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 NDP 55% CPBC 42% BCG 3% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 NDP 55% CPBC 42% BCG 3% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 NDP 55% CPBC 42% BCG 3% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 NDP 56% CPBC 41% BCG 3% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 NDP 56% CPBC 41% BCG 3% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 NDP 57% CPBC 40% BCG 3% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 NDP 57% CPBC 40% BCG 3% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 NDP 57% CPBC 40% BCG 3% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 NDP 57% CPBC 40% BCG 3% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 NDP 57% CPBC 40% BCG 3% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 NDP 57% CPBC 40% BCG 3% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 NDP 57% CPBC 40% BCG 3% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 NDP 57% CPBC 40% BCG 3% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 NDP 57% CPBC 40% BCG 3% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 NDP 57% CPBC 40% BCG 3% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 NDP 56% CPBC 41% BCG 3% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 CPBC 52% NDP 39% BCG 6% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 CPBC 52% NDP 39% BCG 6% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 CPBC 52% NDP 39% BCG 6% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 CPBC 52% NDP 39% BCG 6% ONE 2% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 CPBC 53% NDP 38% BCG 6% ONE 3% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 CPBC 50% NDP 39% BCG 7% ONE 2% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 CPBC 50% NDP 39% BCG 7% ONE 2% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-12-20

Odds of winning | Bulkley Valley-Stikine

BCU <1% CPBC 90% NDP 10% BCG <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Election 2024 CPBC NDP BCG December 20, 2025 2024-03-26 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 NDP 97% CPBC 3% BCG <1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 NDP 98% CPBC 2% BCG <1% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 NDP 91% CPBC 9% BCG <1% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 NDP 91% CPBC 9% BCG <1% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 NDP 84% CPBC 16% BCG <1% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 NDP 90% CPBC 10% BCG <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 NDP 90% CPBC 10% BCG <1% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 NDP 91% CPBC 9% BCG <1% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 NDP 88% CPBC 12% BCG <1% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 NDP 88% CPBC 12% BCG <1% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 NDP 88% CPBC 12% BCG <1% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 NDP 88% CPBC 12% BCG <1% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 NDP 93% CPBC 7% BCG <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 NDP 93% CPBC 7% BCG <1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 NDP 93% CPBC 7% BCG <1% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 NDP 93% CPBC 7% BCG <1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 NDP 93% CPBC 7% BCG <1% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 NDP 94% CPBC 6% BCG <1% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 NDP 95% CPBC 5% BCG <1% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 NDP 96% CPBC 4% BCG <1% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 NDP 96% CPBC 4% BCG <1% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 NDP 98% CPBC 2% BCG <1% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 NDP 97% CPBC 3% BCG <1% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 NDP 97% CPBC 3% BCG <1% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 NDP 97% CPBC 3% BCG <1% 2025-12-20 2024-03-26 NDP 98% CPBC 2% BCG <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP 97% CPBC 3% BCG <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP 97% CPBC 3% BCG <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP 97% CPBC 3% BCG <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP 97% CPBC 3% BCG <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP 97% CPBC 3% BCG <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP 96% CPBC 4% BCG <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 CPBC 98% NDP 2% BCG <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 CPBC 98% NDP 2% BCG <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 CPBC 95% NDP 5% BCG <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 CPBC 93% NDP 7% BCG <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 CPBC 95% NDP 5% BCG <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 CPBC 90% NDP 10% BCG <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 CPBC 90% NDP 10% BCG <1% 2024-09-26