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British columbia


Surrey-Panorama


MLA: Jinny Sims (NDP)


Latest projection: December 5, 2023

NDP safe
Surrey-Panorama 50% ± 9%▼ 25% ± 7%▼ 22% ± 8%▲ NDP 2020 55.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 5, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Surrey-Panorama >99% <1% <1% Odds of winning | December 5, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Surrey-Panorama

BCU 25% ± 7% BCC 22% ± 8% NDP 50% ± 9% Popular vote projection % | Surrey-Panorama 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-05-01 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 BCU BCC NDP

Odds of winning | Surrey-Panorama

BCU <1% NDP >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-05-01 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 BCU NDP

Recent electoral history | Surrey-Panorama



2017 2020 Proj. NDP 50.9% 55.1% 50% ± 9% BCU 41.9% 42.9% 25% ± 7% BCG 6.7% 0.0% 1% ± 1% BCC 0.0% 0.0% 22% ± 8% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 2% ± 2%