logo
British columbia

Cariboo-Chilcotin


Latest projection: September 27, 2024
CPBC safe

Candidates | Cariboo-Chilcotin


BC NDP Michael Moses
Conservative Party of BC Lorne Doerkson

Candidates are listed on the Elections BC website here. This list will be updated regularly throughout the campaign.

Cariboo-Chilcotin 61% ± 8% CPBC 31% ± 7% NDP 7% ± 4% BCG LIB 2020 52.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 27, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Cariboo-Chilcotin >99% CPBC <1% NDP <1% BCG Odds of winning | September 27, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Cariboo-Chilcotin

CPBC 61% ± 8% NDP 31% ± 7% BCG 7% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Cariboo-Chilcotin 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-09-15 2024-10-01 2024-10-15 Election 2024 Campaign begins CPBC NDP BCG September 27, 2024 2024-09-21 CPBC 61% NDP 32% BCG 8% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 CPBC 60% NDP 32% BCG 8% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 CPBC 61% NDP 31% BCG 7% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 CPBC 61% NDP 31% BCG 7% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 CPBC 61% NDP 31% BCG 7% 2024-09-27

Odds of winning | Cariboo-Chilcotin

BCU <1% CPBC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-09-15 2024-10-01 2024-10-15 Election 2024 Campaign begins BCU CPBC NDP September 27, 2024 2024-09-21 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCU <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCU <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCU <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCU <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCU <1% 2024-09-27

Recent electoral history | Cariboo-Chilcotin



2017 2020 Proj. BCU 58.0% 52.2% 0% ± 0% NDP 26.7% 31.8% 31% ± 7% BCG 14.7% 11.1% 7% ± 4% CPBC 0.0% 0.0% 61% ± 8%
Data from 2017 and 2020 are those transposed onto new electoral map.