338Canada.com British Columbia - BC Liberal Party





Last update: December 12, 2020

LeaderShirley Bond
Popular vote in 202033.8%
Current vote projection34.1% ± 5.1%
Current number of MP's28
Current seat projection27 ± 10



Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the BC Liberal Party



Rank Electoral districts Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Kelowna-Lake Country LIB safe >99%
2. Prince George-Valemount LIB safe >99%
3. Vancouver-Quilchena LIB safe >99%
4. Kootenay East LIB safe >99%
5. West Vancouver-Capilano LIB safe >99%
6. Kelowna-Mission LIB safe >99%
7. Kamloops-South Thompson LIB safe >99%
8. Cariboo-Chilcotin LIB likely 99%
9. Shuswap LIB likely 99%
10. Delta South LIB likely 99%
11. Kelowna West LIB likely 99%
12. Prince George-Mackenzie LIB likely 99%
13. Nechako Lakes LIB likely 98%
14. Peace River North LIB likely 97%
15. Peace River South LIB likely 97%
16. Cariboo North LIB likely 96%
17. Richmond North Centre LIB likely 93%
18. Penticton LIB likely 93%
19. Abbotsford South LIB likely 91%
20. Abbotsford West LIB leaning 90%
21. Columbia River-Revelstoke LIB leaning 87%
22. Vancouver-Langara LIB leaning 82%
23. Skeena LIB leaning 80%
24. Surrey South LIB leaning 71%
25. Fraser-Nicola Toss up 60%
26. Surrey-White Rock Toss up 55%
27. Kamloops-North Thompson Toss up 55%
28. West Vancouver-Sea to Sky Toss up 51%
29. Richmond South Centre Toss up 43%
30. Vernon-Monashee Toss up 40%
31. Abbotsford-Mission Toss up 33%
32. Richmond-Steveston NDP leaning 22%
33. Parksville-Qualicum NDP leaning 16%
34. Chilliwack-Kent NDP leaning 16%
35. Richmond-Queensborough NDP leaning 13%
36. Vancouver-False Creek NDP likely 9%
37. Langley East NDP likely 8%
38. Surrey-Panorama NDP likely 7%
39. North Vancouver-Seymour NDP likely 6%
40. Boundary-Similkameen NDP likely 4%
41. Langley NDP likely 3%
42. Chilliwack NDP likely 2%
43. Surrey-Green Timbers NDP likely 1%
44. Surrey-Cloverdale NDP likely <1%
45. Coquitlam-Burke Mountain NDP likely <1%
Rank Electoral districts Projection
1. Kelowna-Lake Country LIB safe
2. Prince George-Valemount LIB safe
3. Vancouver-Quilchena LIB safe
4. Kootenay East LIB safe
5. West Vancouver-Capilano LIB safe
6. Kelowna-Mission LIB safe
7. Kamloops-South Thompson LIB safe
8. Cariboo-Chilcotin LIB likely
9. Shuswap LIB likely
10. Delta South LIB likely
11. Kelowna West LIB likely
12. Prince George-Mackenzie LIB likely
13. Nechako Lakes LIB likely
14. Peace River North LIB likely
15. Peace River South LIB likely
16. Cariboo North LIB likely
17. Richmond North Centre LIB likely
18. Penticton LIB likely
19. Abbotsford South LIB likely
20. Abbotsford West LIB leaning
21. Columbia River-Revelstoke LIB leaning
22. Vancouver-Langara LIB leaning
23. Skeena LIB leaning
24. Surrey South LIB leaning
25. Fraser-Nicola Toss up
26. Surrey-White Rock Toss up
27. Kamloops-North Thompson Toss up
28. West Vancouver-Sea to Sky Toss up
29. Richmond South Centre Toss up
30. Vernon-Monashee Toss up
31. Abbotsford-Mission Toss up
32. Richmond-Steveston NDP leaning
33. Parksville-Qualicum NDP leaning
34. Chilliwack-Kent NDP leaning
35. Richmond-Queensborough NDP leaning
36. Vancouver-False Creek NDP likely
37. Langley East NDP likely
38. Surrey-Panorama NDP likely
39. North Vancouver-Seymour NDP likely
40. Boundary-Similkameen NDP likely
41. Langley NDP likely
42. Chilliwack NDP likely
43. Surrey-Green Timbers NDP likely
44. Surrey-Cloverdale NDP likely
45. Coquitlam-Burke Mountain NDP likely



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