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British columbia

BC United





Last update: February 1, 2024

LeaderKevin Falcon
Popular vote in 202033.8%
Current vote projection18.1% ± 3.1%
Current number of MP's29
Current seat projection4 [-2-10]

Vote projection | February 1, 2024

11% 12% 13% 14% 15% 16% 17% 18% 19% 20% 21% 22% 23% 24% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% Min. 15.1% 18.1% ± 3.1% Max. 21.2% Probabilities % BCU

Seat projection | February 1, 2024

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 4 Max. 10 Probabilities % BCU

Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | BC United



Rank Electoral districts Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. West Vancouver-Capilano Toss up 69%
2. Vancouver-Quilchena Toss up 53%
3. Delta South Toss up 49%
4. Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream Toss up 36%
5. Kootenay-Rockies Toss up 32%
6. Prince George-Valemount Toss up 31%
7. Surrey South NDP leaning 20%
8. Prince George-North Cariboo Toss up 20%
9. Cariboo-Chilcotin Toss up 16%
10. Prince George-Mackenzie NDP leaning 13%
11. Kelowna-Mission Toss up 10%
12. West Kelowna-Peachland BCC leaning 8%
13. Salmon Arm-Shuswap NDP leaning 7%
14. Nechako Lakes Toss up 5%
15. Vancouver-Yaletown NDP likely 5%
16. Kelowna Centre NDP leaning 4%
17. West Vancouver-Sea to Sky GRN leaning 4%
18. Richmond-Bridgeport NDP likely 3%
19. Langley-Abbotsford NDP leaning 2%
20. Skeena NDP likely 1%
21. Peace River South BCC likely 1%
22. Peace River North BCC likely 1%
23. Surrey-White Rock NDP likely 1%
Rank Electoral districts Projection
1. West Vancouver-Capilano Toss up
2. Vancouver-Quilchena Toss up
3. Delta South Toss up
4. Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream Toss up
5. Kootenay-Rockies Toss up
6. Prince George-Valemount Toss up
7. Surrey South NDP leaning
8. Prince George-North Cariboo Toss up
9. Cariboo-Chilcotin Toss up
10. Prince George-Mackenzie NDP leaning
11. Kelowna-Mission Toss up
12. West Kelowna-Peachland BCC leaning
13. Salmon Arm-Shuswap NDP leaning
14. Nechako Lakes Toss up
15. Vancouver-Yaletown NDP likely
16. Kelowna Centre NDP leaning
17. West Vancouver-Sea to Sky GRN leaning
18. Richmond-Bridgeport NDP likely
19. Langley-Abbotsford NDP leaning
20. Skeena NDP likely
21. Peace River South BCC likely
22. Peace River North BCC likely
23. Surrey-White Rock NDP likely