BC United
Last update: February 11, 2023
Leader | Kevin Falcon |
Popular vote in 2020 | 33.8% |
Current vote projection | 33.9% ± 5.1% |
Current number of MP's | 27 |
Current seat projection | 29 [19-40] |
Vote projection | February 11, 2023
Seat projection | February 11, 2023
Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | BC United
Rank | Electoral districts | Current party | Last projection | Odds of winning |
---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Vancouver-Quilchena | BCU safe | >99% | |
2. | Kelowna-Lake Country | BCU safe | >99% | |
3. | Prince George-Valemount | BCU safe | >99% | |
4. | Kootenay East | BCU safe | >99% | |
5. | West Vancouver-Capilano | BCU safe | >99% | |
6. | Peace River North | BCU safe | >99% | |
7. | Kamloops-South Thompson | BCU safe | >99% | |
8. | Kelowna-Mission | BCU safe | >99% | |
9. | Peace River South | BCU safe | >99% | |
10. | Shuswap | BCU safe | >99% | |
11. | Delta South | BCU safe | >99% | |
12. | Cariboo-Chilcotin | BCU safe | >99% | |
13. | Kelowna West | BCU safe | >99% | |
14. | Prince George-Mackenzie | BCU safe | >99% | |
15. | Nechako Lakes | ![]() |
BCU likely | 99% |
16. | Cariboo North | BCU likely | 99% | |
17. | Penticton | BCU likely | 97% | |
18. | Richmond North Centre | BCU likely | 97% | |
19. | Surrey South | BCU likely | 93% | |
20. | Columbia River-Revelstoke | BCU likely | 93% | |
21. | Vancouver-Langara | BCU likely | 91% | |
22. | Abbotsford West | BCU leaning | 89% | |
23. | Skeena | BCU leaning | 88% | |
24. | Abbotsford South | BCU leaning | 84% | |
25. | Surrey-White Rock | BCU leaning | 84% | |
26. | Kamloops-North Thompson | BCU leaning | 79% | |
27. | Vernon-Monashee | BCU leaning | 71% | |
28. | Richmond South Centre | Toss up | 58% | |
29. | Fraser-Nicola | Toss up | 54% | |
30. | West Vancouver-Sea to Sky | Toss up | 46% | |
31. | Abbotsford-Mission | Toss up | 36% | |
32. | Richmond-Steveston | Toss up | 35% | |
33. | Richmond-Queensborough | Toss up | 31% | |
34. | Vancouver-False Creek | NDP leaning | 22% | |
35. | Chilliwack-Kent | NDP leaning | 21% | |
36. | Surrey-Panorama | NDP leaning | 19% | |
37. | Parksville-Qualicum | NDP leaning | 18% | |
38. | Boundary-Similkameen | NDP leaning | 17% | |
39. | Langley East | NDP leaning | 12% | |
40. | Chilliwack | NDP likely | 7% | |
41. | Surrey-Green Timbers | NDP likely | 4% | |
42. | Langley | NDP likely | 4% | |
43. | Surrey-Cloverdale | NDP likely | 4% | |
44. | North Vancouver-Seymour | NDP likely | 3% | |
45. | Vancouver-Fraserview | NDP likely | 1% | |
46. | Vancouver-Point Grey | NDP likely | 1% |