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British columbia

BC United





Last update: July 14, 2023

LeaderKevin Falcon
Popular vote in 202033.8%
Current vote projection29.7% ± 4.7%
Current number of MP's27
Current seat projection24 [12-35]

Vote projection | July 14, 2023

19% 20% 21% 22% 23% 24% 25% 26% 27% 28% 29% 30% 31% 32% 33% 34% 35% 36% 37% 38% 39% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% Min. 25.0% 29.7% ± 4.7% 2020 33.8% Max. 34.4% Probabilities % BCU

Seat projection | July 14, 2023

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% Min. 12 24 2020 28 seats Max. 35 Majority 44 seats Probabilities % BCU

Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | BC United



Rank Electoral districts Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Vancouver-Quilchena BCU safe >99%
2. Kelowna-Lake Country BCU safe >99%
3. Prince George-Valemount BCU safe >99%
4. West Vancouver-Capilano BCU safe >99%
5. Kootenay East BCU safe >99%
6. Delta South BCU likely 98%
7. Kelowna-Mission BCU likely 97%
8. Kamloops-South Thompson BCU likely 97%
9. Cariboo-Chilcotin BCU likely 96%
10. Shuswap BCU likely 96%
11. Kelowna West BCU likely 94%
12. Prince George-Mackenzie BCU likely 94%
13. Peace River North BCU likely 93%
14. Cariboo North BCU likely 92%
15. Peace River South BCU likely 91%
16. Richmond North Centre BCU leaning 85%
17. Penticton BCU leaning 78%
18. Surrey South BCU leaning 77%
19. Nechako Lakes BCU leaning 76%
20. Vancouver-Langara BCU leaning 71%
21. Columbia River-Revelstoke Toss up 70%
22. Surrey-White Rock Toss up 61%
23. Abbotsford West Toss up 60%
24. Skeena Toss up 59%
25. Abbotsford South Toss up 50%
26. Kamloops-North Thompson Toss up 42%
27. Vernon-Monashee Toss up 32%
28. West Vancouver-Sea to Sky Toss up 30%
29. Richmond South Centre NDP leaning 29%
30. Fraser-Nicola NDP leaning 21%
31. Richmond-Steveston NDP leaning 13%
32. Richmond-Queensborough NDP leaning 12%
33. Abbotsford-Mission NDP likely 9%
34. Vancouver-False Creek NDP likely 6%
35. Parksville-Qualicum NDP likely 5%
36. Surrey-Panorama NDP likely 4%
37. Chilliwack-Kent NDP likely 4%
38. Boundary-Similkameen NDP likely 2%
39. Langley East NDP likely 1%
40. Surrey-Green Timbers NDP likely 1%
41. Surrey-Cloverdale NDP likely 1%
42. Chilliwack NDP likely 1%
Rank Electoral districts Projection
1. Vancouver-Quilchena BCU safe
2. Kelowna-Lake Country BCU safe
3. Prince George-Valemount BCU safe
4. West Vancouver-Capilano BCU safe
5. Kootenay East BCU safe
6. Delta South BCU likely
7. Kelowna-Mission BCU likely
8. Kamloops-South Thompson BCU likely
9. Cariboo-Chilcotin BCU likely
10. Shuswap BCU likely
11. Kelowna West BCU likely
12. Prince George-Mackenzie BCU likely
13. Peace River North BCU likely
14. Cariboo North BCU likely
15. Peace River South BCU likely
16. Richmond North Centre BCU leaning
17. Penticton BCU leaning
18. Surrey South BCU leaning
19. Nechako Lakes BCU leaning
20. Vancouver-Langara BCU leaning
21. Columbia River-Revelstoke Toss up
22. Surrey-White Rock Toss up
23. Abbotsford West Toss up
24. Skeena Toss up
25. Abbotsford South Toss up
26. Kamloops-North Thompson Toss up
27. Vernon-Monashee Toss up
28. West Vancouver-Sea to Sky Toss up
29. Richmond South Centre NDP leaning
30. Fraser-Nicola NDP leaning
31. Richmond-Steveston NDP leaning
32. Richmond-Queensborough NDP leaning
33. Abbotsford-Mission NDP likely
34. Vancouver-False Creek NDP likely
35. Parksville-Qualicum NDP likely
36. Surrey-Panorama NDP likely
37. Chilliwack-Kent NDP likely
38. Boundary-Similkameen NDP likely
39. Langley East NDP likely
40. Surrey-Green Timbers NDP likely
41. Surrey-Cloverdale NDP likely
42. Chilliwack NDP likely