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Federal polls | Manitoba & Saskatchewan


51% ± 5%
35% ± 5%
12% ± 4%▼
1% ± 1%
1% ± 1%

LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Voting intentions % 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 Election 2025 December 7, 2025 CPC 57% NDP 20% LPC 15% PPC 2% GPC 2% 2025-01-12 CPC 56% NDP 20% LPC 15% PPC 2% GPC 2% 2025-01-19 CPC 56% NDP 20% LPC 16% PPC 2% GPC 2% 2025-01-26 CPC 55% NDP 21% LPC 16% PPC 2% GPC 2% 2025-02-02 CPC 53% NDP 20% LPC 18% PPC 2% GPC 2% 2025-02-09 CPC 53% LPC 20% NDP 19% GPC 2% PPC 2% 2025-02-16 CPC 53% LPC 21% NDP 17% PPC 3% GPC 2% 2025-02-23 CPC 50% LPC 23% NDP 17% PPC 3% GPC 3% 2025-03-02 CPC 50% LPC 23% NDP 17% GPC 3% PPC 3% 2025-03-09 CPC 48% LPC 26% NDP 16% GPC 3% PPC 3% 2025-03-16 CPC 49% LPC 31% NDP 13% GPC 3% PPC 2% 2025-03-18 CPC 49% LPC 31% NDP 13% GPC 3% PPC 2% 2025-03-20 CPC 48% LPC 31% NDP 13% GPC 3% PPC 2% 2025-03-21 CPC 49% LPC 32% NDP 13% GPC 3% PPC 2% 2025-03-22 CPC 49% LPC 32% NDP 13% GPC 3% PPC 2% 2025-03-23 CPC 49% LPC 31% NDP 13% GPC 3% PPC 2% 2025-03-24 CPC 49% LPC 33% NDP 12% GPC 3% PPC 2% 2025-03-25 CPC 49% LPC 33% NDP 12% GPC 3% PPC 2% 2025-03-26 CPC 49% LPC 33% NDP 12% GPC 3% PPC 2% 2025-03-27 CPC 49% LPC 33% NDP 12% GPC 3% PPC 2% 2025-03-28 CPC 49% LPC 33% NDP 12% GPC 2% PPC 2% 2025-03-29 CPC 49% LPC 33% NDP 12% GPC 2% PPC 2% 2025-03-30 CPC 48% LPC 33% NDP 12% GPC 2% PPC 2% 2025-03-31 CPC 49% LPC 33% NDP 12% GPC 2% PPC 2% 2025-04-01 CPC 49% LPC 33% NDP 12% PPC 2% GPC 2% 2025-04-02 CPC 49% LPC 33% NDP 12% PPC 2% GPC 2% 2025-04-03 CPC 49% LPC 33% NDP 12% GPC 2% PPC 2% 2025-04-04 CPC 49% LPC 34% NDP 12% GPC 2% PPC 2% 2025-04-05 CPC 49% LPC 34% NDP 12% GPC 2% PPC 2% 2025-04-06 CPC 50% LPC 34% NDP 12% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-07 CPC 50% LPC 34% NDP 12% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-08 CPC 50% LPC 35% NDP 12% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-09 CPC 50% LPC 35% NDP 12% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-10 CPC 50% LPC 35% NDP 12% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-11 CPC 50% LPC 35% NDP 12% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-12 CPC 50% LPC 35% NDP 12% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-13 CPC 50% LPC 35% NDP 12% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-14 CPC 51% LPC 35% NDP 12% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-04-15 CPC 51% LPC 35% NDP 12% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-04-16 CPC 50% LPC 35% NDP 12% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-04-17 CPC 50% LPC 35% NDP 12% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-04-18 CPC 50% LPC 35% NDP 12% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-04-19 CPC 49% LPC 36% NDP 12% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-04-20 CPC 49% LPC 36% NDP 12% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-04-21 CPC 49% LPC 36% NDP 12% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-04-22 CPC 49% LPC 36% NDP 12% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-04-23 CPC 49% LPC 36% NDP 12% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-04-24 CPC 49% LPC 36% NDP 12% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-04-25 CPC 49% LPC 36% NDP 12% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-04-26 CPC 49% LPC 36% NDP 12% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-04-27 CPC 49% LPC 37% NDP 11% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-04-28 CPC 55% LPC 34% NDP 9% PPC 1% GPC 1% 2025-04-30 CPC 55% LPC 34% NDP 9% PPC 1% GPC 1% 2025-05-11 CPC 55% LPC 34% NDP 9% PPC 1% GPC 1% 2025-05-18 CPC 55% LPC 34% NDP 9% PPC 1% GPC 1% 2025-05-25 CPC 55% LPC 34% NDP 9% PPC 1% GPC 1% 2025-06-01 CPC 55% LPC 34% NDP 10% PPC 1% GPC 1% 2025-06-08 CPC 54% LPC 34% NDP 10% PPC 1% GPC 1% 2025-06-15 CPC 53% LPC 35% NDP 10% PPC 1% GPC 1% 2025-06-22 CPC 52% LPC 36% NDP 10% PPC 1% GPC 1% 2025-06-29 CPC 51% LPC 37% NDP 10% PPC 1% GPC 1% 2025-07-06 CPC 51% LPC 37% NDP 11% PPC 1% GPC 1% 2025-07-13 CPC 51% LPC 37% NDP 11% PPC 1% GPC 1% 2025-07-20 CPC 50% LPC 37% NDP 11% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-07-27 CPC 50% LPC 36% NDP 12% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-08-03 CPC 50% LPC 36% NDP 12% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-08-10 CPC 50% LPC 36% NDP 12% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-08-17 CPC 51% LPC 35% NDP 13% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-08-24 CPC 51% LPC 35% NDP 13% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-08-31 CPC 52% LPC 34% NDP 13% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-09-07 CPC 51% LPC 35% NDP 12% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-09-14 CPC 51% LPC 35% NDP 12% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-09-21 CPC 52% LPC 34% NDP 12% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-09-28 CPC 51% LPC 34% NDP 12% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-10-05 CPC 52% LPC 34% NDP 12% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-10-12 CPC 52% LPC 34% NDP 12% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-10-19 CPC 52% LPC 34% NDP 12% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-10-26 CPC 52% LPC 34% NDP 12% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-11-02 CPC 51% LPC 34% NDP 12% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-11-09 CPC 50% LPC 35% NDP 13% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-11-16 CPC 51% LPC 35% NDP 13% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-11-23 CPC 51% LPC 35% NDP 13% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-11-30 CPC 51% LPC 35% NDP 12% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-12-07 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader
Projection updated December 7, 2025



Important note: Some polls are not listed below because their data is behind a paywall (such as the Nanos weekly updates), but they are included in the projections.

Prairies only
 Rating Leader
Léger
2025-11-29, n=1,579
 A+
40
53
5
1
CPC +13
Abacus
Data
2025-11-30, n=1,802
 A−
33
53
11
3
CPC +20
Liaison
Strategies
2025-11-29, n=1,000
 B+
30
50
11
2
CPC +20
Angus Reid
Institute
2025-11-28, n=4,025
 A−
29
54
15
1
CPC +25
Abacus
Data
2025-11-24, n=2,421
 A−
33
50
14
1
CPC +17
EKOS
2025-11-09, n=1,191
 B+
28
43
22
5
CPC +15
Liaison
Strategies
2025-11-08, n=1,000
 B+
32
52
11
2
CPC +20
Abacus
Data
2025-11-06, n=1,916
 A−
33
54
10
2
CPC +21
Angus Reid
Institute
2025-11-06, n=2,038
 A−
31
56
12
1
CPC +25
Liaison
Strategies
2025-11-02, n=1,000
 B+
29
53
14
0
CPC +24
EKOS
2025-11-02, n=1,126
 B+
43
33
17
6
LPC +10
Léger
2025-11-01, n=1,585
 A+
35
48
9
3
CPC +13
Abacus
Data
2025-10-27, n=2,922
 A−
31
54
9
3
CPC +23
EKOS
2025-10-23, n=1,199
 B+
35
39
17
1
CPC +4
Innovative
Research
2025-10-17, n=4,106
 B−
31
51
14
2
CPC +20
Pallas Data
2025-10-14, n=1,206
 A−
32
48
15
1
CPC +16
Abacus
Data
2025-10-12, n=4,501
 A−
34
51
12
1
CPC +17
Léger
2025-10-04, n=1,562
 A+
33
56
7
2
CPC +23
Abacus
Data
2025-09-29, n=1,504
 A−
32
53
7
7
CPC +21
Angus Reid
Institute
2025-09-21, n=1,570
 A−
28
57
14
1
CPC +29
Liaison
Strategies
2025-09-20, n=1,000
 B+
31
48
12
5
CPC +17
Abacus
Data
2025-09-15, n=2,230
 A−
31
55
9
4
CPC +24
R
esearch
Co.
2025-09-11, n=1,003
 A−
34
55
7
1
CPC +21
EKOS
2025-09-09, n=1,614
 B+
39
43
14
1
CPC +4
Ipsos
2025-09-07, n=1,001
 A
33
50
16
0
CPC +17
Léger
2025-09-06, n=1,592
 A+
39
47
9
2
CPC +8
Angus Reid
Institute
2025-09-02, n=3,656
 A−
29
57
13
1
CPC +28
Abacus
Data
2025-08-31, n=1,500
 A−
39
50
10
1
CPC +11
Mainstreet
Research
2025-08-30, n=1,008
 A−
32
58
7
0
CPC +26
Liaison
Strategies
2025-08-26, n=1,000
 B+
31
48
12
5
CPC +17
Abacus
Data
2025-08-17, n=1,915
 A−
35
52
9
3
CPC +17
Liaison
Strategies
2025-08-07, n=1,000
 B+
32
49
13
5
CPC +17
Abacus
Data
2025-08-04, n=1,686
 A−
34
52
13
0
CPC +18
Léger
2025-08-03, n=1,617
 A+
35
49
11
4
CPC +14
Pallas Data
2025-07-31, n=1,301
 A−
35
55
10
0
CPC +20
Abacus
Data
2025-07-13, n=1,915
 A−
33
52
11
2
CPC +19
EKOS
2025-07-11, n=1,817
 B+
33
39
21
1
CPC +6
Léger
2025-07-05, n=1,546
 A+
35
49
10
5
CPC +14
R
esearch
Co.
2025-07-01, n=1,001
 A−
42
48
3
2
CPC +6
Abacus
Data
2025-06-29, n=1,500
 A−
33
54
11
1
CPC +21
Abacus
Data
2025-06-18, n=1,500
 A−
39
45
13
2
CPC +6
Innovative
Research
2025-06-18, n=4,029
 B−
36
49
10
3
CPC +13
Abacus
Data
2025-06-04, n=2,585
 A−
31
54
13
1
CPC +23
Spark
Advocacy
2025-05-28, n=3,450
 NR
36
48
14
CPC +12
Abacus
Data
2025-05-18, n=2,273
 A−
27
53
16
3
CPC +26
Innovative
Research
2025-05-17, n=2,517
 B−
28
49
14
5
CPC +21
Léger
2025-04-30, n=1,502
 A+
35
56
10
0
CPC +21

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