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Canada



Federal polls | Manitoba & Saskatchewan


51% ± 6%
37% ± 6%
11% ± 4%▲
1% ± 1%
1% ± 1%

LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Voting intentions % 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 Election 2025 July 13, 2025 CPC 57% NDP 20% LPC 15% PPC 2% GPC 2% 2025-01-12 CPC 56% NDP 20% LPC 15% PPC 2% GPC 2% 2025-01-19 CPC 56% NDP 20% LPC 16% PPC 2% GPC 2% 2025-01-26 CPC 55% NDP 21% LPC 16% PPC 2% GPC 2% 2025-02-02 CPC 53% NDP 20% LPC 18% PPC 2% GPC 2% 2025-02-09 CPC 53% LPC 20% NDP 19% GPC 2% PPC 2% 2025-02-16 CPC 53% LPC 21% NDP 17% PPC 3% GPC 2% 2025-02-23 CPC 50% LPC 23% NDP 17% PPC 3% GPC 3% 2025-03-02 CPC 50% LPC 23% NDP 17% GPC 3% PPC 3% 2025-03-09 CPC 48% LPC 26% NDP 16% GPC 3% PPC 3% 2025-03-16 CPC 49% LPC 31% NDP 13% GPC 3% PPC 2% 2025-03-18 CPC 49% LPC 31% NDP 13% GPC 3% PPC 2% 2025-03-20 CPC 48% LPC 31% NDP 13% GPC 3% PPC 2% 2025-03-21 CPC 49% LPC 32% NDP 13% GPC 3% PPC 2% 2025-03-22 CPC 49% LPC 32% NDP 13% GPC 3% PPC 2% 2025-03-23 CPC 49% LPC 31% NDP 13% GPC 3% PPC 2% 2025-03-24 CPC 49% LPC 33% NDP 12% GPC 3% PPC 2% 2025-03-25 CPC 49% LPC 33% NDP 12% GPC 3% PPC 2% 2025-03-26 CPC 49% LPC 33% NDP 12% GPC 3% PPC 2% 2025-03-27 CPC 49% LPC 33% NDP 12% GPC 3% PPC 2% 2025-03-28 CPC 49% LPC 33% NDP 12% GPC 2% PPC 2% 2025-03-29 CPC 49% LPC 33% NDP 12% GPC 2% PPC 2% 2025-03-30 CPC 48% LPC 33% NDP 12% GPC 2% PPC 2% 2025-03-31 CPC 49% LPC 33% NDP 12% GPC 2% PPC 2% 2025-04-01 CPC 49% LPC 33% NDP 12% PPC 2% GPC 2% 2025-04-02 CPC 49% LPC 33% NDP 12% PPC 2% GPC 2% 2025-04-03 CPC 49% LPC 33% NDP 12% GPC 2% PPC 2% 2025-04-04 CPC 49% LPC 34% NDP 12% GPC 2% PPC 2% 2025-04-05 CPC 49% LPC 34% NDP 12% GPC 2% PPC 2% 2025-04-06 CPC 50% LPC 34% NDP 12% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-07 CPC 50% LPC 34% NDP 12% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-08 CPC 50% LPC 35% NDP 12% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-09 CPC 50% LPC 35% NDP 12% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-10 CPC 50% LPC 35% NDP 12% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-11 CPC 50% LPC 35% NDP 12% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-12 CPC 50% LPC 35% NDP 12% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-13 CPC 50% LPC 35% NDP 12% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-14 CPC 51% LPC 35% NDP 12% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-04-15 CPC 51% LPC 35% NDP 12% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-04-16 CPC 50% LPC 35% NDP 12% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-04-17 CPC 50% LPC 35% NDP 12% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-04-18 CPC 50% LPC 35% NDP 12% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-04-19 CPC 49% LPC 36% NDP 12% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-04-20 CPC 49% LPC 36% NDP 12% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-04-21 CPC 49% LPC 36% NDP 12% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-04-22 CPC 49% LPC 36% NDP 12% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-04-23 CPC 49% LPC 36% NDP 12% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-04-24 CPC 49% LPC 36% NDP 12% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-04-25 CPC 49% LPC 36% NDP 12% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-04-26 CPC 49% LPC 36% NDP 12% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-04-27 CPC 49% LPC 37% NDP 11% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-04-28 CPC 55% LPC 34% NDP 9% PPC 1% GPC 1% 2025-04-30 CPC 55% LPC 34% NDP 9% PPC 1% GPC 1% 2025-05-11 CPC 55% LPC 34% NDP 9% PPC 1% GPC 1% 2025-05-18 CPC 55% LPC 34% NDP 9% PPC 1% GPC 1% 2025-05-25 CPC 55% LPC 34% NDP 9% PPC 1% GPC 1% 2025-06-01 CPC 55% LPC 34% NDP 10% PPC 1% GPC 1% 2025-06-08 CPC 54% LPC 34% NDP 10% PPC 1% GPC 1% 2025-06-15 CPC 53% LPC 35% NDP 10% PPC 1% GPC 1% 2025-06-22 CPC 52% LPC 36% NDP 10% PPC 1% GPC 1% 2025-06-29 CPC 51% LPC 37% NDP 10% PPC 1% GPC 1% 2025-07-06 CPC 51% LPC 37% NDP 11% PPC 1% GPC 1% 2025-07-13 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader
Projection updated July 13, 2025



Important note: Some polls are not listed below because their data is behind a paywall (such as the Nanos weekly updates), but they are included in the projections.

Firm Date (middle) LPC CPC NDP GPC Leader
MB/SK Léger 2025-07-05 35 49 10 5 CPC +14
MB/SK Research Co. 2025-07-01 42 48 3 2 CPC +6
MB/SK Abacus Data 2025-06-29 33 54 11 1 CPC +21
MB/SK Abacus Data 2025-06-18 39 45 13 2 CPC +6
MB/SK Abacus Data 2025-06-04 31 54 13 1 CPC +23
MB/SK Spark
Advocacy
 2025-05-28 36 48 14 CPC +12
MB/SK Abacus Data 2025-05-18 27 53 16 3 CPC +26
MB/SK Innovative
Research
 2025-05-17 28 49 14 5 CPC +21
MB/SK Léger 2025-04-30 35 56 10 0 CPC +21

[Looking for older federal polls? Find them here.]