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About this Abacus Data federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Abacus Data in July 2025, with a middle field date of July 13, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,915 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.2%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (June 2025), the Liberal Party climbs two points from 41% to 43% (variation similar to moe), the Conservative Party remains stable at 40%, and the Bloc Québécois remains stable at 7%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 43% ▲2 LPC 40% CPC 7% BQ 7% ▼2 NDP 3% ▲1 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-07-13 338Canada.com

Past polls from Abacus Data




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 55% ▲8 LPC 38% ▲1 CPC 3% ▼9 NDP 2% ▼1 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-07-13 338Canada.com
Quebec 44% ▲2 LPC 28% ▼3 BQ 22% ▲3 CPC 3% ▼1 NDP 2% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-07-13 338Canada.com
Ontario 46% ▲2 LPC 43% CPC 7% ▼1 NDP 3% GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-07-13 338Canada.com

Manitoba/Saskatchewan 52% ▼2 CPC 33% LPC 11% NDP 2% ▲1 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-07-13 338Canada.com
Alberta 58% ▼2 CPC 29% ▲2 LPC 8% ▼2 NDP 2% PPC 1% ▲1 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-07-13 338Canada.com
British Columbia 40% ▲1 LPC 39% ▼2 CPC 14% NDP 6% ▲1 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-07-13 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-29 years old 42% ▲5 LPC 39% ▼3 CPC 10% ▼2 NDP 6% BQ 2% ▼1 GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-07-13 338Canada.com
30-44 years old 41% ▼1 CPC 39% ▲2 LPC 9% ▼1 NDP 5% BQ 4% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-07-13 338Canada.com

45-59 years old 43% ▲6 CPC 39% ▼3 LPC 7% ▼2 NDP 5% ▼2 BQ 3% ▲1 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-07-13 338Canada.com
60+ years old 49% ▲4 LPC 37% ▼1 CPC 8% ▼1 BQ 4% ▼1 NDP 2% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-07-13 338Canada.com



Government approval 52% Approve 27% ▲2 Disapprove 21% ▼2 Neutral/Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-07-13 338Canada.com
Abacus Data Government approval tracker 52% 27%2025-07-13 52% 25%2025-06-29 52% 25%2025-06-18 53% 23%2025-06-04 50% 24%2025-05-18 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove


Impression / favourability of Mark Carney 49% Positive / favourable 28% Negative / unfavourable 23% Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-07-13 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Mark Carney 49% 28%2025-07-13 49% 28%2025-06-29 48% 29%2025-06-18 51% 27%2025-06-04 49% 29%2025-05-18 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 42% ▼1 Negative / unfavourable 38% ▼1 Positive / favourable 20% ▲2 Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-07-13 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 38% 42%2025-07-13 39% 43%2025-06-29 41% 41%2025-06-18 39% 44%2025-06-04 40% 43%2025-05-18 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable



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