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About this Innovative Research federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Innovative Research in June 2025, with a middle field date of June 18, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=4,029 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±1.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Innovative Research (May 2025), the Liberal Party is up one point (variation similar to moe), the Conservative Party is down one point (variation similar to moe), and the New Democratic Party remains stable at 8%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 43% ▲1 LPC 38% ▼1 CPC 8% NDP 6% BQ 3% GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-06-18 338Canada.com

Past polls from Innovative Research




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 54% ▲1 LPC 35% ▼5 CPC 7% ▲3 NDP 2% ▲1 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-06-18 338Canada.com
Quebec 44% ▲3 LPC 28% ▲2 BQ 20% ▼4 CPC 4% ▼3 NDP 2% GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-06-18 338Canada.com
Ontario 46% ▼1 LPC 41% ▲1 CPC 8% NDP 3% GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-06-18 338Canada.com

Manitoba/Saskatchewan 49% CPC 36% ▲8 LPC 10% ▼4 NDP 3% ▼2 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-06-18 338Canada.com
Alberta 59% ▼3 CPC 26% ▲2 LPC 10% ▲2 NDP 3% ▲1 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-06-18 338Canada.com
British Columbia 41% ▼1 LPC 40% ▲2 CPC 13% ▲1 NDP 5% ▼1 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-06-18 338Canada.com


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 43% LPC 36% CPC 9% NDP 7% BQ 3% GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-06-18 338Canada.com
Male voters 42% LPC 40% CPC 6% BQ 6% NDP 3% GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-06-18 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 41% LPC 37% CPC 10% NDP 4% BQ 4% GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-06-18 338Canada.com
35-54 years old 39% LPC 39% CPC 9% NDP 7% BQ 3% GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-06-18 338Canada.com
55+ years old 46% LPC 38% CPC 8% BQ 5% NDP 2% GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-06-18 338Canada.com


Preferred PM 43% Carney 30% Poilievre 12% ▼1 Don't know 4% Davies 3% ▲1 May 3% Blanchet Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-06-18 338Canada.com
Innovative Research Preferred PM tracker 43% 30%2025-06-18 43% 30%2025-05-17 ◻︎Carney ◻︎Others ◻︎Don't know ◻︎Poilievre


Government satisfaction 52% ▲3 Satisfied 42% ▼1 Dissatisfied 6% ▼2 Neutral/Unsure Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-06-18 338Canada.com

Impression / favourability of Mark Carney 50% Positive / favourable 28% ▲1 Negative / unfavourable 22% ▼1 Neutral / Unsure Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-06-18 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Mark Carney 50% 28%2025-06-18 50% 27%2025-05-17 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 43% ▲1 Negative / unfavourable 37% ▼1 Positive / favourable 20% Neutral / Unsure Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-06-18 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 37% 43%2025-06-18 38% 42%2025-05-17 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Don Davies 77% ▼3 Neutral / Unsure 14% ▲2 Negative / unfavourable 9% ▲1 Positive / favourable Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-06-18 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Don Davies 9% 14%2025-06-18 8% 12%2025-05-17 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Yves-François Blanchet 39% Positive / favourable 37% ▲2 Neutral / Unsure 24% ▼2 Negative / unfavourable Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-06-18 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Yves-François Blanchet 39% 24%2025-06-18 39% 26%2025-05-17 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable



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