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About this poll


This federal poll was fielded by Ipsos in December 2025, with a middle field date of December 12, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,502 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Ipsos (September 2025), the Liberal Party loses three points from 43% to 40%, the Conservative Party loses two points from 39% to 37% (variation similar to moe), and the Bloc Québécois climbs two points from 7% to 9% (variation similar to moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.

Canada 40% LPC 37% CPC 9% BQ 9% NDP 2% PPC 2% GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-12-12 338Canada.com



Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 63% LPC 24% CPC 7% NDP 4% PPC 2% GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-12-12 338Canada.com
Quebec 39% BQ 39% LPC 13% CPC 3% GPC 2% NDP 1% PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-12-12 338Canada.com
Ontario 42% LPC 42% CPC 10% NDP 3% PPC 3% GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-12-12 338Canada.com

Manitoba/Saskatchewan 45% CPC 38% LPC 14% NDP 2% PPC 1% GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-12-12 338Canada.com
Alberta 61% CPC 26% LPC 10% NDP 2% PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-12-12 338Canada.com
British Columbia 41% CPC 40% LPC 14% NDP 3% PPC 2% GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-12-12 338Canada.com


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 39% LPC 34% CPC 11% NDP 10% BQ 2% PPC 2% GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-12-12 338Canada.com
Male voters 41% LPC 40% CPC 8% BQ 7% NDP 2% PPC 2% GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-12-12 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 37% LPC 36% CPC 16% NDP 7% BQ 4% PPC 3% GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-12-12 338Canada.com
35-54 years old 41% CPC 38% LPC 8% BQ 7% NDP 3% PPC 3% GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-12-12 338Canada.com
55+ years old 47% LPC 34% CPC 11% BQ 5% NDP 1% PPC 1% GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-12-12 338Canada.com



Government approval 55% Approve 45% Disapprove Ipsos federal poll | 2025-12-12 338Canada.com
Ipsos Government approval tracker 55% 45%2025-12-12 58% 42%2025-09-07 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove




P#994