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About this Ipsos federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Ipsos in December 2025, with a middle field date of December 12, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,502 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Ipsos (September 2025), the Liberal Party loses three points from 43% to 40%, the Conservative Party loses two points from 39% to 37% (variation similar to moe), and the Bloc Québécois climbs two points from 7% to 9% (variation similar to moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 40% ▼3 LPC 37% ▼2 CPC 9% ▲2 BQ 9% ▲2 NDP 2% ▲1 GPC 2% PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-12-12 338Canada.com

Past polls from Ipsos




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 63% ▲5 LPC 24% ▼5 CPC 7% ▼2 NDP 4% ▲2 PPC 2% GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-12-12 338Canada.com
Quebec 39% ▼2 LPC 39% ▲7 BQ 13% ▼10 CPC 3% ▲3 GPC 2% ▲1 NDP 1% ▼2 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-12-12 338Canada.com
Ontario 42% ▼4 LPC 42% CPC 10% ▲5 NDP 3% GPC 3% PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-12-12 338Canada.com

Manitoba/Saskatchewan 45% ▼5 CPC 38% ▲5 LPC 14% ▼2 NDP 2% ▲1 PPC 1% ▲1 GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-12-12 338Canada.com
Alberta 61% CPC 26% ▼3 LPC 10% ▲2 NDP 2% PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-12-12 338Canada.com
British Columbia 41% CPC 40% ▼4 LPC 14% ▲1 NDP 3% ▲3 PPC 2% GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-12-12 338Canada.com


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 39% ▼5 LPC 34% ▼6 CPC 11% ▲3 NDP 10% ▲6 BQ 2% ▲1 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-12-12 338Canada.com
Male voters 41% ▼1 LPC 40% CPC 8% ▼2 BQ 7% ▲2 NDP 2% ▲1 GPC 2% PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-12-12 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 37% ▼8 LPC 36% ▲2 CPC 16% ▲4 NDP 7% ▲2 BQ 4% ▲1 PPC 3% ▲2 GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-12-12 338Canada.com
35-54 years old 41% ▼5 CPC 38% ▼1 LPC 8% BQ 7% ▲4 NDP 3% ▲2 GPC 3% ▼1 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-12-12 338Canada.com
55+ years old 47% ▲3 LPC 34% ▼4 CPC 11% ▲3 BQ 5% ▼1 NDP 1% ▼1 GPC 1% PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-12-12 338Canada.com



Government approval 55% ▼3 Approve 45% ▲3 Disapprove Ipsos federal poll | 2025-12-12 338Canada.com
Ipsos Government approval tracker 55% 45%2025-12-12 58% 42%2025-09-07 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove




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