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Canada

About this poll


This federal poll was fielded by Abacus Data in June 2025, with a middle field date of June 4, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=2,585 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±1.9%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (May 2025), the Liberal Party is up one point (variation similar to moe), the Conservative Party is down one point (variation similar to moe), and the New Democratic Party remains stable at 8%.

You can read more information on this poll here.

Canada 42% LPC 39% CPC 8% NDP 6% BQ 3% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-04 338Canada.com




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 56% LPC 33% CPC 6% NDP 3% GPC 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-04 338Canada.com
Quebec 42% LPC 29% BQ 22% CPC 4% GPC 3% NDP 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-04 338Canada.com
Ontario 47% LPC 41% CPC 7% NDP 2% PPC 2% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-04 338Canada.com

Manitoba/Saskatchewan 54% CPC 31% LPC 13% NDP 1% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-04 338Canada.com
Alberta 63% CPC 26% LPC 10% NDP 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-04 338Canada.com
British Columbia 39% LPC 38% CPC 15% NDP 5% GPC 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-04 338Canada.com


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 43% LPC 39% CPC 7% NDP 6% BQ 3% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-04 338Canada.com
Male voters 41% LPC 40% CPC 9% NDP 7% BQ 2% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-04 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-29 years old 39% LPC 39% CPC 11% NDP 5% BQ 3% GPC 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-04 338Canada.com
30-44 years old 45% CPC 35% LPC 10% NDP 6% BQ 3% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-04 338Canada.com

45-59 years old 41% CPC 40% LPC 7% BQ 7% NDP 4% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-04 338Canada.com
60+ years old 51% LPC 33% CPC 7% BQ 6% NDP 1% PPC 1% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-04 338Canada.com



P#910