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About this Abacus Data federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Abacus Data in May 2025, with a middle field date of May 18, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=2,273 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (April 2025), the Liberal Party remains stable at 41%, the Conservative Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party loses two points from 10% to 8% (variation similar to moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 41% LPC 40% ▲1 CPC 8% ▼2 NDP 7% ▲1 BQ 3% ▲2 GPC 1% ▼2 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-05-18 338Canada.com

Past polls from Abacus Data




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 51% ▼5 LPC 37% CPC 9% ▲4 NDP 2% ▲1 GPC 1% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-05-18 338Canada.com
Quebec 38% ▼1 LPC 31% ▲2 BQ 24% ▲4 CPC 3% ▼4 NDP 3% ▲3 GPC 1% ▼2 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-05-18 338Canada.com
Ontario 47% ▲2 LPC 41% ▼1 CPC 7% NDP 2% ▲1 GPC 2% ▼2 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-05-18 338Canada.com

Manitoba/Saskatchewan 53% ▲6 CPC 27% ▼12 LPC 16% ▲3 NDP 3% ▲3 GPC 1% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-05-18 338Canada.com
Alberta 62% ▲4 CPC 27% ▲8 LPC 9% ▼6 NDP 1% ▼7 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-05-18 338Canada.com
British Columbia 41% ▲3 LPC 39% ▼1 CPC 15% ▼2 NDP 5% ▲3 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-05-18 338Canada.com


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 43% LPC 39% ▲4 CPC 8% ▼5 NDP 6% BQ 2% ▲1 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-05-18 338Canada.com
Male voters 40% ▼3 CPC 38% LPC 9% ▲2 NDP 8% ▲2 BQ 3% ▲2 GPC 2% ▼2 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-05-18 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-29 years old 44% ▲12 CPC 35% ▼11 LPC 11% ▼4 NDP 5% ▲4 GPC 4% ▲2 BQ 1% ▼2 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-05-18 338Canada.com
30-44 years old 39% ▲1 LPC 38% ▼2 CPC 11% ▼4 NDP 8% ▲4 BQ 3% ▲2 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-05-18 338Canada.com

45-59 years old 44% ▲2 CPC 40% ▲7 LPC 6% ▼2 BQ 6% ▼5 NDP 2% ▲1 GPC 1% ▼4 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-05-18 338Canada.com
60+ years old 47% ▲1 LPC 36% ▼2 CPC 8% ▲1 BQ 7% ▲2 NDP 1% GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-05-18 338Canada.com



Government approval 50% Approve 26% Neutral/Unsure 24% Disapprove Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-05-18 338Canada.com


Impression / favourability of Mark Carney 49% Positive / favourable 29% Negative / unfavourable 22% Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-05-18 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Mark Carney 49% 29%2025-05-18 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 43% Negative / unfavourable 40% Positive / favourable 17% Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-05-18 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 40% 43%2025-05-18 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable



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