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Canada

About this poll


This federal poll was fielded by Abacus Data in May 2025, with a middle field date of May 18, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=2,273 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (April 2025), the Liberal Party remains stable at 41%, the Conservative Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party loses two points from 10% to 8% (variation similar to moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.

Canada 41% LPC 40% CPC 8% NDP 7% BQ 3% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-05-18 338Canada.com




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 51% LPC 37% CPC 9% NDP 2% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-05-18 338Canada.com
Quebec 38% LPC 31% BQ 24% CPC 3% GPC 3% NDP 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-05-18 338Canada.com
Ontario 47% LPC 41% CPC 7% NDP 2% PPC 2% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-05-18 338Canada.com

Manitoba/Saskatchewan 53% CPC 27% LPC 16% NDP 3% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-05-18 338Canada.com
Alberta 62% CPC 27% LPC 9% NDP 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-05-18 338Canada.com
British Columbia 41% LPC 39% CPC 15% NDP 5% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-05-18 338Canada.com


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 43% LPC 39% CPC 8% NDP 6% BQ 2% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-05-18 338Canada.com
Male voters 40% CPC 38% LPC 9% NDP 8% BQ 3% GPC 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-05-18 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-29 years old 44% CPC 35% LPC 11% NDP 5% GPC 4% BQ 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-05-18 338Canada.com
30-44 years old 39% LPC 38% CPC 11% NDP 8% BQ 3% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-05-18 338Canada.com

45-59 years old 44% CPC 40% LPC 6% BQ 6% NDP 2% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-05-18 338Canada.com
60+ years old 47% LPC 36% CPC 8% BQ 7% NDP 1% PPC 1% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-05-18 338Canada.com



P#905