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About this Liaison Strategies federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Liaison Strategies in November 2025, with a middle field date of November 8, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,000 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Liaison Strategies (November 2025), the Liberal Party climbs two points from 42% to 44% (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party loses two points from 38% to 36% (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 44% ▲2 LPC 36% ▼2 CPC 10% ▼1 NDP 6% ▲1 BQ 2% GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-11-08 338Canada.com
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213 LPC 97 CPC 21 BQ 10 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 6 1 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 7 3 QC 45 21 11 1 ON 96 23 2 1 MB 7 6 1 SK 13 1 AB 30 5 2 BC 30 9 3 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Liaison Strategies federal poll November 8, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Liaison Strategies




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 54% ▲1 LPC 31% CPC 11% ▲1 NDP 2% GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-11-08 338Canada.com
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Quebec 42% ▼2 LPC 25% ▲1 CPC 24% ▲2 BQ 8% ▲1 NDP 1% ▼1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-11-08 338Canada.com
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Ontario 49% ▲6 LPC 35% ▼3 CPC 10% ▼2 NDP 3% GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-11-08 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 52% ▼1 CPC 32% ▲3 LPC 11% ▼3 NDP 3% ▲1 PPC 2% ▲2 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-11-08 338Canada.com
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Alberta 55% ▼5 CPC 31% ▲3 LPC 9% ▼1 NDP 3% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-11-08 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 46% ▲3 LPC 36% ▼2 CPC 13% ▼2 NDP 2% ▲1 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-11-08 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 44% ▲1 LPC 38% ▼1 CPC 9% ▼1 NDP 4% ▲1 BQ 2% ▼1 GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-11-08 338Canada.com
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Male voters 42% ▲4 LPC 34% ▼4 CPC 11% ▼2 NDP 8% ▲1 BQ 2% ▲1 PPC 1% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-11-08 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 42% ▲4 LPC 39% ▼3 CPC 10% ▼1 NDP 4% BQ 2% GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-11-08 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 41% ▼3 CPC 37% ▲3 LPC 11% ▼2 NDP 6% BQ 3% ▲2 PPC 1% ▼1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-11-08 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 49% ▲1 LPC 34% ▼1 CPC 8% ▼1 NDP 5% BQ 1% ▲1 GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-11-08 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 49% ▲3 LPC 28% ▼2 CPC 11% ▼1 NDP 7% BQ 3% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-11-08 338Canada.com
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Government approval 61% ▼1 Approve 34% ▲2 Disapprove 5% ▼1 Neutral/Unsure Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-11-08 338Canada.com
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Liaison Strategies Government approval tracker 61% 34%2025-11-08 62% 32%2025-11-02 60% 35%2025-09-20 61% 33%2025-08-26 64% 32%2025-08-07 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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