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About this Liaison Strategies federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Liaison Strategies in January 2026, with a middle field date of January 7, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,000 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Liaison Strategies (December 2025), the Liberal Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party remains stable at 12%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 39% ▲1 LPC 36% ▼1 CPC 12% NDP 8% ▲1 BQ 3% GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-07 338Canada.com
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167 LPC 123 CPC 36 BQ 15 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 5 2 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 7 3 QC 36 33 8 1 ON 74 44 3 1 MB 7 5 2 SK 9 5 AB 36 1 BC 19 16 7 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Liaison Strategies federal poll January 7, 2026 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Liaison Strategies




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 52% ▲3 LPC 34% ▲1 CPC 11% ▼2 NDP 3% ▲1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-07 338Canada.com
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Quebec 36% ▼1 LPC 35% ▲4 BQ 18% ▼3 CPC 7% ▼2 NDP 3% ▲1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-07 338Canada.com
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Ontario 44% ▲2 LPC 37% ▼1 CPC 14% ▲3 NDP 2% ▼2 GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-07 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 44% ▼2 CPC 33% LPC 13% ▼2 NDP 4% ▼1 PPC 2% ▲2 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-07 338Canada.com
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Alberta 63% ▼1 CPC 23% LPC 6% ▼2 NDP 5% ▲2 GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-07 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 38% ▲2 LPC 36% ▼3 CPC 20% ▼1 NDP 3% ▲1 GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-07 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 40% LPC 35% ▼2 CPC 11% NDP 8% ▲1 BQ 3% GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-07 338Canada.com
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Male voters 37% ▲1 LPC 36% ▼2 CPC 13% ▼1 NDP 8% ▲1 BQ 3% ▲1 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-07 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 37% ▼1 CPC 35% ▲1 LPC 13% NDP 7% ▲1 BQ 3% GPC 2% ▼2 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-07 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 42% ▼2 CPC 32% LPC 13% ▲1 NDP 8% ▲1 BQ 2% ▼1 GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-07 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 46% ▲1 LPC 34% ▼2 CPC 8% ▼2 NDP 7% BQ 3% ▲2 GPC 1% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-07 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 41% ▼1 LPC 30% ▼2 CPC 13% NDP 10% ▲2 BQ 4% GPC 1% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-07 338Canada.com
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Government approval 56% ▲1 Approve 37% ▼2 Disapprove 7% ▲1 Neutral/Unsure Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-07 338Canada.com
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Liaison Strategies Government approval tracker 56% 37%2026-01-07 55% 39%2025-12-30 56% 40%2025-12-24 57% 39%2025-12-20 59% 36%2025-11-29 61% 34%2025-11-08 62% 32%2025-11-02 60% 35%2025-09-20 61% 33%2025-08-26 64% 32%2025-08-07 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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