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About this EKOS federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by EKOS in January 2026, with a middle field date of January 19, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,453 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±2.6%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from EKOS (November 2025), the Liberal Party remains stable at 44%, the Conservative Party loses three points from 33% to 30%, and the New Democratic Party climbs three points from 11% to 14%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 44% LPC 30% ▼3 CPC 14% ▲3 NDP 5% BQ 4% ▲1 GPC 2% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2026-01-19 338Canada.com
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236 LPC 65 CPC 23 BQ 16 NDP 3 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 10 QC 46 23 8 1 ON 109 9 3 1 MB 7 5 2 SK 9 5 AB 21 14 2 BC 21 13 7 2 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on EKOS federal poll January 19, 2026 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from EKOS




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 64% ▲6 LPC 23% ▼9 CPC 11% ▲5 NDP 2% ▲2 PPC 1% ▼3 GPC EKOS federal poll | 2026-01-19 338Canada.com
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Quebec 40% ▼6 LPC 24% ▼1 BQ 19% ▲5 CPC 10% ▲1 NDP 3% GPC 1% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2026-01-19 338Canada.com
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Ontario 51% ▲6 LPC 29% ▼11 CPC 15% ▲5 NDP 4% ▲2 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2026-01-19 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 44% ▲1 CPC 37% ▲9 LPC 11% ▼11 NDP 4% ▲4 PPC 1% ▼4 GPC EKOS federal poll | 2026-01-19 338Canada.com
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Alberta 45% ▲10 CPC 34% ▼7 LPC 14% ▲4 NDP 4% ▼1 GPC 2% ▼2 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2026-01-19 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 36% ▼5 LPC 32% ▼7 CPC 20% ▲8 NDP 9% ▲4 GPC 2% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2026-01-19 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 49% ▼3 LPC 25% ▲2 CPC 17% ▲4 NDP 5% ▼1 BQ 3% GPC 1% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2026-01-19 338Canada.com
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Male voters 41% ▲4 LPC 35% ▼9 CPC 11% ▲3 NDP 6% ▲1 BQ 4% ▲1 GPC 2% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2026-01-19 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 32% ▼5 LPC 29% ▼6 CPC 27% ▲8 NDP 6% ▲1 GPC 4% ▲4 BQ 2% ▼1 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2026-01-19 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 37% ▼4 LPC 31% ▼5 CPC 14% ▲3 NDP 7% ▲1 BQ 5% ▲2 GPC 4% ▲2 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2026-01-19 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 47% ▲2 LPC 35% ▲1 CPC 6% ▼4 BQ 6% ▼2 NDP 4% ▲2 GPC 1% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2026-01-19 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 65% ▲9 LPC 24% ▼3 CPC 6% ▲1 NDP 5% ▼2 BQ 1% ▼2 GPC EKOS federal poll | 2026-01-19 338Canada.com
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Government approval 61% ▲32 Approve 39% ▼25 Disapprove EKOS federal poll | 2026-01-19 338Canada.com
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EKOS Government approval tracker 61% 39%2026-01-19 29% 64%2024-04-20 38% 56%2023-03-08 40% 57%2022-01-13 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 72% ▲8 Negative / unfavourable 28% Positive / favourable EKOS federal poll | 2026-01-19 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 28% 72%2026-01-19 28% 64%2025-10-23 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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