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About this Liaison Strategies federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Liaison Strategies in November 2025, with a middle field date of November 2, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,000 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Liaison Strategies (September 2025), the Liberal Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 42% ▼1 LPC 38% ▲1 CPC 11% ▲1 NDP 5% BQ 2% GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-11-02 338Canada.com
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178 LPC 133 CPC 17 BQ 13 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 5 2 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 7 3 QC 49 17 11 1 ON 70 48 3 1 MB 6 5 3 SK 13 1 AB 34 2 1 BC 22 16 4 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Liaison Strategies federal poll November 2, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Liaison Strategies




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 53% ▲5 LPC 31% ▼3 CPC 10% ▲1 NDP 2% ▼1 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-11-02 338Canada.com
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Quebec 44% ▲1 LPC 24% ▼2 CPC 22% ▼1 BQ 7% ▲1 NDP 2% ▲2 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-11-02 338Canada.com
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Ontario 43% ▼4 LPC 38% CPC 12% ▲2 NDP 3% ▲1 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-11-02 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 53% ▲5 CPC 29% ▼2 LPC 14% ▲2 NDP 2% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-11-02 338Canada.com
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Alberta 60% ▲9 CPC 28% ▼6 LPC 10% NDP 2% PPC 1% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-11-02 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 43% ▲2 LPC 38% CPC 15% ▼1 NDP 1% ▼1 GPC 1% ▼2 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-11-02 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 43% ▼2 LPC 39% ▲1 CPC 10% ▲1 NDP 3% BQ 3% ▲1 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-11-02 338Canada.com
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Male voters 38% ▼2 LPC 38% ▲1 CPC 13% ▲1 NDP 7% ▼1 BQ 1% GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-11-02 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 42% ▲3 CPC 38% ▼8 LPC 11% ▲2 NDP 4% BQ 2% ▲1 GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-11-02 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 44% ▲4 CPC 34% ▼2 LPC 13% NDP 6% ▲1 BQ 2% GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-11-02 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 48% ▲3 LPC 35% CPC 9% NDP 5% ▼1 BQ 1% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-11-02 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 46% ▲2 LPC 30% ▼3 CPC 12% ▲2 NDP 7% BQ 3% GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-11-02 338Canada.com
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Government approval 62% ▲2 Approve 32% ▼3 Disapprove 6% ▲1 Neutral/Unsure Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-11-02 338Canada.com
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Liaison Strategies Government approval tracker 62% 32%2025-11-02 60% 35%2025-09-20 61% 33%2025-08-26 64% 32%2025-08-07 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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