About this poll

This federal poll was fielded by Abacus Data in October 2025, with a middle field date of October 12, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=4,501 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±1.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (September 2025), the Conservative Party remains stable at 41%, the Liberal Party remains stable at 40%, and the New Democratic Party is up one point (variation similar to moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.