About this Abacus Data federal poll
This federal poll was fielded by Abacus Data in October 2025, with a middle field date of October 12, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=4,501 Canadian respondents via an online panel.
The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable.
For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±1.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.
If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (September 2025), the Conservative Party remains stable at 41%, the Liberal Party remains stable at 40%, and the New Democratic Party is up one point (variation similar to moe).
You can read more information on this poll here.
Back to all federal polls
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.
Past polls from Abacus Data
Breakdown by region
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Breakdown by age group
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P#963