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About this Liaison Strategies federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Liaison Strategies in February 2026, with a middle field date of February 15, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,000 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Liaison Strategies (February 2026), the Liberal Party climbs two points from 43% to 45% (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 45% ▲2 LPC 33% ▼1 CPC 9% ▼1 NDP 6% BQ 3% ▲1 GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-02-15 338Canada.com
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229 LPC 83 CPC 23 BQ 6 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 8 2 QC 47 23 7 1 ON 100 20 1 1 MB 7 6 1 SK 13 1 AB 21 14 2 BC 28 13 1 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Liaison Strategies federal poll February 15, 2026 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Liaison Strategies




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 59% LPC 32% CPC 7% NDP 2% ▼3 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-02-15 338Canada.com
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Quebec 43% ▲2 LPC 28% BQ 19% ▼1 CPC 6% ▼1 NDP 2% ▼3 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-02-15 338Canada.com
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Ontario 48% ▲1 LPC 33% ▼1 CPC 11% ▼1 NDP 3% ▼3 GPC 3% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-02-15 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 48% ▲5 CPC 32% ▼3 LPC 9% ▼1 NDP 3% ▼1 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-02-15 338Canada.com
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Alberta 48% ▼5 CPC 37% ▲5 LPC 5% ▲2 PPC 4% ▼2 NDP 3% ▼2 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-02-15 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 45% ▲1 LPC 37% CPC 11% ▼1 NDP 4% ▼3 GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-02-15 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 49% ▲1 LPC 30% ▼1 CPC 8% NDP 6% BQ 3% ▲1 GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-02-15 338Canada.com
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Male voters 41% ▲1 LPC 35% ▼1 CPC 10% ▼1 NDP 7% BQ 3% ▲1 GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-02-15 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 39% LPC 38% ▼1 CPC 7% NDP 5% BQ 5% GPC 3% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-02-15 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 46% ▲4 LPC 34% ▼3 CPC 10% NDP 7% BQ 1% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-02-15 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 50% ▼1 LPC 30% ▲2 CPC 7% ▼1 NDP 5% BQ 4% ▲1 GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-02-15 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 43% ▲2 LPC 30% ▼1 CPC 13% ▼2 NDP 8% BQ 2% ▲1 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-02-15 338Canada.com
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Government approval 63% Approve 32% Disapprove 5% Neutral/Unsure Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-02-15 338Canada.com
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Liaison Strategies Government approval tracker 63% 32%2026-02-15 63% 32%2026-02-08 62% 33%2026-02-01 64% 33%2026-01-25 62% 33%2026-01-18 57% 36%2026-01-11 56% 37%2026-01-07 55% 39%2025-12-30 56% 40%2025-12-24 57% 39%2025-12-20 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 54% ▲2 Negative / unfavourable 37% ▼2 Positive / favourable 9% Neutral / Unsure Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-02-15 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 37% 54%2026-02-15 39% 52%2026-02-08 39% 53%2026-02-01 37% 56%2026-01-25 37% 57%2026-01-18 38% 54%2025-09-20 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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