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About this Pallas Data federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Pallas Data in January 2026, with a middle field date of January 11, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,120 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±2.9%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Pallas Data (December 2025), the Liberal Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party climbs three points from 8% to 11%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


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Canada 40% ▼1 LPC 37% ▼1 CPC 11% ▲3 NDP 7% ▼1 BQ 3% ▼1 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2026-01-11 338Canada.com
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166 LPC 133 CPC 27 BQ 15 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 5 2 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 7 3 QC 41 27 9 1 ON 68 50 3 1 MB 7 6 1 SK 13 1 AB 33 2 2 BC 19 16 7 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Pallas Data federal poll January 11, 2026 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Pallas Data




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 49% ▼5 LPC 31% CPC 17% ▲8 NDP 2% ▼2 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2026-01-11 338Canada.com
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Quebec 39% ▼1 LPC 30% ▼5 BQ 21% ▲5 CPC 5% NDP 4% GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2026-01-11 338Canada.com
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Ontario 44% ▼3 LPC 40% ▼1 CPC 11% ▲2 NDP 3% ▲1 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2026-01-11 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 55% ▼3 CPC 33% ▲9 LPC 11% ▲1 NDP Pallas Data federal poll | 2026-01-11 338Canada.com
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Alberta 54% ▼8 CPC 21% ▼7 LPC 17% ▲10 NDP Pallas Data federal poll | 2026-01-11 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 41% ▲4 LPC 39% CPC 16% ▲7 NDP 5% ▼7 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2026-01-11 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 46% ▼1 LPC 29% ▼4 CPC 12% ▲4 NDP 8% ▲1 BQ 4% GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2026-01-11 338Canada.com
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Male voters 46% ▲4 CPC 33% ▼2 LPC 10% ▲2 NDP 7% ▼3 BQ 3% ▼1 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2026-01-11 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 41% ▼3 CPC 36% ▲5 LPC 15% ▲7 NDP 4% ▼5 BQ 3% ▼5 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2026-01-11 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 38% ▼6 CPC 37% LPC 14% ▲7 NDP 8% ▼1 BQ 1% ▲1 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2026-01-11 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 39% ▼6 LPC 37% CPC 9% ▲3 BQ 7% NDP 5% ▲2 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2026-01-11 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 48% ▼5 LPC 33% ▲8 CPC 8% ▼1 BQ 8% ▼1 NDP 2% ▼1 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2026-01-11 338Canada.com
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Government approval 48% Approve 40% Disapprove 12% Neutral/Unsure Pallas Data federal poll | 2026-01-11 338Canada.com
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Pallas Data Government approval tracker 48% 40%2026-01-11 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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