logo
Canada

About this Pallas Data federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Pallas Data in January 2026, with a middle field date of January 11, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,120 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±2.9%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Pallas Data (December 2025), the Liberal Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party climbs three points from 8% to 11%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 40% ▼1 LPC 37% ▼1 CPC 11% ▲3 NDP 7% ▼1 BQ 3% ▼1 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2026-01-11 338Canada.com

Past federal polls from Pallas Data

LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ PPC Voting intentions % 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 2025-04-26 LPC 43% CPC 39% NDP 7% BQ 6% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-26 2025-07-31 LPC 43% CPC 38% NDP 8% BQ 6% GPC 2% 2025-07-31 2025-10-14 LPC 41% CPC 37% NDP 11% BQ 6% GPC 3% 2025-10-14 2025-12-14 LPC 41% CPC 38% NDP 8% BQ 8% GPC 4% 2025-12-14 2026-01-11 LPC 40% CPC 37% NDP 11% BQ 7% GPC 3% 2026-01-11 January 18, 2026
Hover over and click on the coloured dots to access poll details.



Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 49% ▼5 LPC 31% CPC 17% ▲8 NDP 2% ▼2 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2026-01-11 338Canada.com
Quebec 39% ▼1 LPC 30% ▼5 BQ 21% ▲5 CPC 5% NDP 4% GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2026-01-11 338Canada.com
Ontario 44% ▼3 LPC 40% ▼1 CPC 11% ▲2 NDP 3% ▲1 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2026-01-11 338Canada.com

Manitoba/Saskatchewan 55% ▼3 CPC 33% ▲9 LPC 11% ▲1 NDP Pallas Data federal poll | 2026-01-11 338Canada.com
Alberta 54% ▼8 CPC 21% ▼7 LPC 17% ▲10 NDP Pallas Data federal poll | 2026-01-11 338Canada.com
British Columbia 41% ▲4 LPC 39% CPC 16% ▲7 NDP 5% ▼7 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2026-01-11 338Canada.com


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 46% ▼1 LPC 29% ▼4 CPC 12% ▲4 NDP 8% ▲1 BQ 4% GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2026-01-11 338Canada.com
Male voters 46% ▲4 CPC 33% ▼2 LPC 10% ▲2 NDP 7% ▼3 BQ 3% ▼1 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2026-01-11 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 41% ▼3 CPC 36% ▲5 LPC 15% ▲7 NDP 4% ▼5 BQ 3% ▼5 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2026-01-11 338Canada.com
35-49 years old 38% ▼6 CPC 37% LPC 14% ▲7 NDP 8% ▼1 BQ 1% ▲1 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2026-01-11 338Canada.com

50-64 years old 39% ▼6 LPC 37% CPC 9% ▲3 BQ 7% NDP 5% ▲2 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2026-01-11 338Canada.com
65+ years old 48% ▼5 LPC 33% ▲8 CPC 8% ▼1 BQ 8% ▼1 NDP 2% ▼1 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2026-01-11 338Canada.com



Government approval 48% Approve 40% Disapprove 12% Neutral/Unsure Pallas Data federal poll | 2026-01-11 338Canada.com
Pallas Data Government approval tracker 48% 40%2026-01-11 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove




Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Loading…


P#1006