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About this Liaison Strategies federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Liaison Strategies in January 2026, with a middle field date of January 11, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,000 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Liaison Strategies (January 2026), the Liberal Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 40% ▲1 LPC 35% ▼1 CPC 11% ▼1 NDP 8% BQ 3% GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-11 338Canada.com
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184 LPC 106 CPC 36 BQ 15 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 5 2 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 7 3 QC 36 33 8 1 ON 88 30 3 1 MB 7 5 2 SK 9 5 AB 35 1 1 BC 21 14 7 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Liaison Strategies federal poll January 11, 2026 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Liaison Strategies




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 52% LPC 30% ▼4 CPC 11% NDP 3% GPC 2% ▲2 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-11 338Canada.com
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Quebec 36% LPC 35% BQ 18% CPC 7% NDP 3% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-11 338Canada.com
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Ontario 47% ▲3 LPC 36% ▼1 CPC 13% ▼1 NDP 2% PPC 1% ▼1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-11 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 44% CPC 33% LPC 11% ▼2 NDP 5% ▲1 PPC 3% ▲1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-11 338Canada.com
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Alberta 61% ▼2 CPC 25% ▲2 LPC 7% ▲1 NDP 4% ▼1 GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-11 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 40% ▲2 LPC 36% CPC 16% ▼4 NDP 5% ▲2 GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-11 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 41% ▲1 LPC 34% ▼1 CPC 12% ▲1 NDP 8% BQ 2% ▼1 GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-11 338Canada.com
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Male voters 39% ▲2 LPC 36% CPC 11% ▼2 NDP 8% BQ 3% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-11 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 38% ▲3 LPC 38% ▲1 CPC 12% ▼1 NDP 7% BQ 3% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-11 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 40% ▼2 CPC 34% ▲2 LPC 11% ▼2 NDP 8% BQ 2% GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-11 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 49% ▲3 LPC 33% ▼1 CPC 8% NDP 7% BQ 3% GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-11 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 42% ▲1 LPC 29% ▼1 CPC 13% NDP 10% BQ 3% ▼1 GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-11 338Canada.com
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Government approval 57% ▲1 Approve 36% ▼1 Disapprove 7% Neutral/Unsure Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-11 338Canada.com
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Liaison Strategies Government approval tracker 57% 36%2026-01-11 56% 37%2026-01-07 55% 39%2025-12-30 56% 40%2025-12-24 57% 39%2025-12-20 59% 36%2025-11-29 61% 34%2025-11-08 62% 32%2025-11-02 60% 35%2025-09-20 61% 33%2025-08-26 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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