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About this poll


This federal poll was fielded by Abacus Data in September 2025, with a middle field date of September 15, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=2,230 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (August 2025), the Liberal Party loses three points from 43% to 40%, the Conservative Party remains stable at 40%, and the New Democratic Party climbs two points from 6% to 8% (variation similar to moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.

Canada 40% LPC 40% CPC 8% NDP 7% BQ 3% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-09-15 338Canada.com



Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 60% LPC 31% CPC 4% NDP 2% PPC 2% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-09-15 338Canada.com
Quebec 36% LPC 29% BQ 21% CPC 7% NDP 4% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-09-15 338Canada.com
Ontario 45% LPC 43% CPC 6% NDP 3% GPC 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-09-15 338Canada.com

Manitoba/Saskatchewan 55% CPC 31% LPC 9% NDP 4% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-09-15 338Canada.com
Alberta 60% CPC 28% LPC 9% NDP 1% PPC 1% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-09-15 338Canada.com
British Columbia 43% CPC 37% LPC 14% NDP 5% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-09-15 338Canada.com


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 39% LPC 39% CPC 10% NDP 7% BQ 3% GPC 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-09-15 338Canada.com
Male voters 41% LPC 41% CPC 7% BQ 6% NDP 3% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-09-15 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-29 years old 40% LPC 35% CPC 9% NDP 7% GPC 5% BQ 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-09-15 338Canada.com
30-44 years old 40% LPC 39% CPC 9% NDP 5% BQ 4% GPC 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-09-15 338Canada.com

45-59 years old 45% CPC 37% LPC 8% NDP 6% BQ 3% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-09-15 338Canada.com
60+ years old 42% LPC 40% CPC 10% BQ 5% NDP 1% PPC 1% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-09-15 338Canada.com



Government approval 50% Approve 30% Disapprove 20% Neutral/Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-09-15 338Canada.com
Abacus Data Government approval tracker 50% 30%2025-09-15 48% 30%2025-08-31 49% 30%2025-08-17 50% 27%2025-08-04 52% 27%2025-07-13 52% 25%2025-06-29 52% 25%2025-06-18 53% 23%2025-06-04 50% 24%2025-05-18 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove


Impression / favourability of Mark Carney 48% Positive / favourable 30% Negative / unfavourable 22% Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-09-15 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Mark Carney 48% 30%2025-09-15 45% 32%2025-08-31 48% 30%2025-08-17 48% 29%2025-08-04 49% 28%2025-07-13 49% 28%2025-06-29 48% 29%2025-06-18 51% 27%2025-06-04 49% 29%2025-05-18 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 41% Negative / unfavourable 40% Positive / favourable 19% Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-09-15 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 40% 41%2025-09-15 39% 42%2025-08-31 40% 42%2025-08-17 42% 41%2025-08-04 38% 42%2025-07-13 39% 43%2025-06-29 41% 41%2025-06-18 39% 44%2025-06-04 40% 43%2025-05-18 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable



P#953