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Canada

About this poll


This federal poll was fielded by Abacus Data in June 2025, with a middle field date of June 29, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,500 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (June 2025), the Liberal Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party climbs two points from 7% to 9% (variation similar to moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.

Canada 41% LPC 40% CPC 9% NDP 7% BQ 2% PPC 2% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-29 338Canada.com




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 47% LPC 37% CPC 12% NDP 3% GPC 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-29 338Canada.com
Quebec 42% LPC 31% BQ 19% CPC 4% NDP 2% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-29 338Canada.com
Ontario 44% LPC 43% CPC 8% NDP 3% GPC 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-29 338Canada.com

Manitoba/Saskatchewan 54% CPC 33% LPC 11% NDP 2% PPC 1% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-29 338Canada.com
Alberta 60% CPC 27% LPC 10% NDP 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-29 338Canada.com
British Columbia 41% CPC 39% LPC 14% NDP 5% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-29 338Canada.com


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 41% LPC 37% CPC 11% NDP 7% BQ 2% PPC 2% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-29 338Canada.com
Male voters 42% CPC 40% LPC 7% BQ 6% NDP 3% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-29 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-29 years old 42% CPC 37% LPC 12% NDP 6% BQ 3% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-29 338Canada.com
30-44 years old 42% CPC 37% LPC 10% NDP 5% BQ 4% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-29 338Canada.com

45-59 years old 42% LPC 37% CPC 9% NDP 7% BQ 3% PPC 2% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-29 338Canada.com
60+ years old 45% LPC 38% CPC 9% BQ 5% NDP 2% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-29 338Canada.com


Government approval 52% Approve 25% Disapprove 23% Neutral/Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-29 338Canada.com
Abacus Data Government approval tracker 52% 25%2025-06-29 52% 25%2025-06-18 53% 23%2025-06-04 50% 24%2025-05-18 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove

Impression / favourability of Mark Carney 49% Positive / favourable 28% Negative / unfavourable 23% Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-29 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Mark Carney 49% 28%2025-06-29 48% 29%2025-06-18 51% 27%2025-06-04 49% 29%2025-05-18 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 43% Negative / unfavourable 39% Positive / favourable 18% Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-29 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 39% 43%2025-06-29 41% 41%2025-06-18 39% 44%2025-06-04 40% 43%2025-05-18 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable



P#920