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About this Abacus Data federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Abacus Data in November 2025, with a middle field date of November 6, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,916 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.2%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (October 2025), the Conservative Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), the Liberal Party remains stable at 40%, and the New Democratic Party remains stable at 8%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


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Canada 41% ▼1 CPC 40% LPC 8% NDP 7% ▲1 BQ 2% ▼1 GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-11-06 338Canada.com
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156 LPC 152 CPC 26 BQ 7 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 4 3 PEI 4 NS 9 2 NB 6 4 QC 41 26 10 1 ON 61 59 1 1 MB 7 6 1 SK 13 1 AB 35 1 1 BC 21 19 2 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Abacus Data federal poll November 6, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Abacus Data




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 48% ▲3 LPC 40% CPC 8% ▼3 NDP 3% ▲2 PPC 1% ▼2 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-11-06 338Canada.com
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Quebec 39% ▼1 LPC 30% ▲3 BQ 24% ▼1 CPC 5% ▲3 NDP 2% ▼1 GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-11-06 338Canada.com
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Ontario 44% LPC 43% ▼1 CPC 8% NDP 3% GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-11-06 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 54% CPC 33% ▲2 LPC 10% ▲1 NDP 2% ▼1 GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-11-06 338Canada.com
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Alberta 61% ▼1 CPC 26% ▲1 LPC 11% ▼1 NDP 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-11-06 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 42% ▲2 LPC 42% ▲1 CPC 11% ▼2 NDP 4% GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-11-06 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-29 years old 41% ▲3 LPC 37% ▼3 CPC 12% ▲2 NDP 4% GPC 3% ▼2 BQ 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-11-06 338Canada.com
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30-44 years old 43% ▼2 CPC 34% ▼2 LPC 9% ▲8 BQ 9% ▼3 NDP 3% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-11-06 338Canada.com
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45-59 years old 47% CPC 33% ▲1 LPC 9% ▲1 NDP 7% ▼2 BQ 2% ▲1 PPC 1% ▼1 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-11-06 338Canada.com
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60+ years old 50% ▲1 LPC 37% CPC 8% BQ 4% ▼1 NDP 1% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-11-06 338Canada.com
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Government approval 44% ▼3 Approve 34% Disapprove 22% ▲3 Neutral/Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-11-06 338Canada.com
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Abacus Data Government approval tracker 44% 34%2025-11-06 47% 34%2025-10-27 48% 32%2025-10-12 46% 31%2025-09-29 50% 30%2025-09-15 48% 30%2025-08-31 49% 30%2025-08-17 50% 27%2025-08-04 52% 27%2025-07-13 52% 25%2025-06-29 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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Impression / favourability of Mark Carney 45% ▼1 Positive / favourable 33% ▲1 Negative / unfavourable 22% Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-11-06 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Mark Carney 45% 33%2025-11-06 46% 32%2025-10-27 46% 31%2025-10-12 45% 31%2025-09-29 48% 30%2025-09-15 45% 32%2025-08-31 48% 30%2025-08-17 48% 29%2025-08-04 49% 28%2025-07-13 49% 28%2025-06-29 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 44% ▲2 Negative / unfavourable 37% ▼2 Positive / favourable 19% Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-11-06 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 37% 44%2025-11-06 39% 42%2025-10-27 39% 42%2025-10-12 40% 42%2025-09-29 40% 41%2025-09-15 39% 42%2025-08-31 40% 42%2025-08-17 42% 41%2025-08-04 38% 42%2025-07-13 39% 43%2025-06-29 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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