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About this Innovative Research federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Innovative Research in November 2025, with a middle field date of November 29, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,846 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.3%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Innovative Research (October 2025), the Liberal Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party remains stable at 9%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 39% ▼1 LPC 38% ▼1 CPC 9% NDP 8% ▲1 BQ 4% ▲1 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-11-29 338Canada.com
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151 LPC 141 CPC 35 BQ 14 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 5 2 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 7 3 QC 35 34 8 1 ON 70 48 3 1 MB 6 5 3 SK 13 1 AB 33 2 2 BC 28 10 4 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Innovative Research federal poll November 29, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Innovative Research




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 48% ▼5 LPC 31% ▼5 CPC 12% ▲11 GPC 6% ▼2 NDP Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-11-29 338Canada.com
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Quebec 36% ▼4 LPC 34% ▲4 BQ 21% ▼1 CPC 4% NDP 2% ▲1 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-11-29 338Canada.com
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Ontario 46% ▲3 LPC 40% ▼3 CPC 9% NDP 4% GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-11-29 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 51% CPC 26% ▼5 LPC 15% ▲1 NDP 7% ▲5 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-11-29 338Canada.com
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Alberta 57% ▲2 CPC 26% ▼7 LPC 9% ▲1 NDP 3% ▲3 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-11-29 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 41% ▼1 CPC 36% ▼1 LPC 15% NDP 6% ▲1 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-11-29 338Canada.com
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Government satisfaction 48% Satisfied 46% Dissatisfied 6% Neutral/Unsure Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-11-29 338Canada.com
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Innovative Research Government satisfaction tracker 48% 46%2025-11-29 48% 46%2025-10-17 52% 42%2025-06-18 49% 43%2025-05-17 31% 65%2024-12-11 53% 44%2021-05-20 50% 47%2021-04-08 ◻︎Satisfied ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Dissatisfied
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