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Canada

About this Abacus Data federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Abacus Data in February 2026, with a middle field date of February 8, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,915 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.2%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (January 2026), the Liberal Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party loses two points from 39% to 37% (variation similar to moe), and the New Democratic Party remains stable at 8%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 44% ▲1 LPC 37% ▼2 CPC 8% NDP 6% BQ 3% ▲1 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-02-08 338Canada.com

Past federal polls from Abacus Data

LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ PPC Voting intentions % 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 2025-04-26 LPC 41% CPC 39% NDP 10% BQ 6% PPC 3% GPC 1% 2025-04-26 2025-05-18 LPC 41% CPC 40% NDP 8% BQ 7% GPC 3% PPC 1% 2025-05-18 2025-06-04 LPC 42% CPC 39% NDP 8% BQ 6% GPC 3% PPC 1% 2025-06-04 2025-06-18 LPC 42% CPC 39% NDP 7% BQ 6% GPC 3% PPC 1% 2025-06-18 2025-06-29 LPC 41% CPC 40% NDP 9% BQ 7% PPC 2% GPC 2% 2025-06-29 2025-07-13 LPC 43% CPC 40% NDP 7% BQ 7% GPC 3% PPC 1% 2025-07-13 2025-08-04 LPC 43% CPC 40% NDP 8% BQ 6% PPC 2% GPC 2% 2025-08-04 2025-08-17 CPC 41% LPC 39% NDP 7% BQ 7% PPC 2% GPC 2% 2025-08-17 2025-08-31 LPC 43% CPC 40% BQ 7% NDP 6% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-08-31 2025-09-15 CPC 40% LPC 40% NDP 8% BQ 7% GPC 3% PPC 1% 2025-09-15 2025-09-29 CPC 41% LPC 40% NDP 7% BQ 7% GPC 3% PPC 2% 2025-09-29 2025-10-12 CPC 41% LPC 40% NDP 8% BQ 7% GPC 3% PPC 1% 2025-10-12 2025-10-27 CPC 42% LPC 40% NDP 8% BQ 6% GPC 3% PPC 1% 2025-10-27 2025-11-06 CPC 41% LPC 40% NDP 8% BQ 7% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-11-06 2025-11-24 LPC 41% CPC 40% NDP 8% BQ 7% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-11-24 2025-11-30 CPC 41% LPC 41% NDP 7% BQ 7% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 CPC 41% LPC 41% NDP 9% BQ 6% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-12-07 2026-01-12 CPC 40% LPC 40% NDP 8% BQ 7% GPC 3% PPC 1% 2026-01-12 2026-01-14 LPC 41% CPC 39% NDP 8% BQ 7% GPC 3% PPC 2% 2026-01-14 2026-01-25 LPC 43% CPC 39% NDP 8% BQ 6% PPC 2% GPC 2% 2026-01-25 2026-02-08 LPC 44% CPC 37% NDP 8% BQ 6% GPC 3% PPC 1% 2026-02-08 February 15, 2026
Hover over and click on the coloured dots to access poll details.



Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 52% ▼1 LPC 39% ▲4 CPC 4% ▼5 NDP 4% ▲2 GPC 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-02-08 338Canada.com
Quebec 46% ▲5 LPC 27% BQ 19% ▼5 CPC 6% ▲2 NDP 1% ▼2 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-02-08 338Canada.com
Ontario 48% ▲2 LPC 39% ▼2 CPC 8% NDP 4% ▲1 GPC 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-02-08 338Canada.com

Manitoba/Saskatchewan 51% ▼2 CPC 33% LPC 10% ▼2 NDP 3% ▲1 PPC 2% ▲2 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-02-08 338Canada.com
Alberta 61% ▲5 CPC 26% ▼5 LPC 9% ▲1 NDP 2% ▼2 PPC 1% ▲1 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-02-08 338Canada.com
British Columbia 45% LPC 37% CPC 12% ▲1 NDP 4% ▼2 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-02-08 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-29 years old 46% ▲3 LPC 36% ▲1 CPC 10% NDP 4% ▲1 GPC 2% ▼3 BQ 2% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-02-08 338Canada.com
30-44 years old 39% ▼4 CPC 37% ▼1 LPC 12% ▲2 NDP 5% BQ 5% ▲3 GPC 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-02-08 338Canada.com

45-59 years old 42% CPC 41% ▲3 LPC 7% BQ 7% ▼2 NDP 2% GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-02-08 338Canada.com
60+ years old 51% ▲1 LPC 33% ▼2 CPC 8% ▲1 BQ 5% ▲1 NDP 2% ▲1 PPC 1% ▼2 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-02-08 338Canada.com



Government approval 52% ▼2 Approve 29% ▼2 Disapprove 19% ▲4 Neutral/Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-02-08 338Canada.com
Abacus Data Government approval tracker 52% 29%2026-02-08 54% 31%2026-01-25 47% 34%2026-01-12 47% 35%2025-12-07 47% 33%2025-11-30 48% 32%2025-11-24 44% 34%2025-11-06 47% 34%2025-10-27 48% 32%2025-10-12 46% 31%2025-09-29 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove


Impression / favourability of Mark Carney 51% ▼2 Positive / favourable 29% ▼1 Negative / unfavourable 20% ▲3 Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-02-08 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Mark Carney 51% 29%2026-02-08 53% 30%2026-01-25 46% 33%2026-01-12 45% 35%2025-12-07 45% 31%2025-11-24 45% 33%2025-11-06 46% 32%2025-10-27 46% 31%2025-10-12 45% 31%2025-09-29 48% 30%2025-09-15 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 43% ▼1 Negative / unfavourable 36% ▼2 Positive / favourable 21% ▲3 Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-02-08 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 36% 43%2026-02-08 38% 44%2026-01-25 35% 48%2026-01-14 35% 48%2026-01-12 39% 43%2025-12-07 39% 42%2025-11-24 37% 44%2025-11-06 39% 42%2025-10-27 39% 42%2025-10-12 40% 42%2025-09-29 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable



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