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Canada

About this poll


This federal poll was fielded by Abacus Data in August 2025, with a middle field date of August 17, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,915 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.2%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (August 2025), the Conservative Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), the Liberal Party loses four points from 43% to 39%, and the Bloc Québécois is up one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.

Canada 41% CPC 39% LPC 7% BQ 7% NDP 2% PPC 2% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-17 338Canada.com



Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 44% LPC 42% CPC 10% NDP 3% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-17 338Canada.com
Quebec 40% LPC 36% BQ 21% CPC 2% NDP Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-17 338Canada.com
Ontario 46% LPC 44% CPC 8% NDP 2% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-17 338Canada.com

Manitoba/Saskatchewan 52% CPC 35% LPC 9% NDP 3% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-17 338Canada.com
Alberta 62% CPC 26% LPC 8% NDP 2% PPC 2% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-17 338Canada.com
British Columbia 43% CPC 42% LPC 12% NDP 3% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-17 338Canada.com


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 44% LPC 36% CPC 9% NDP 8% BQ 2% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-17 338Canada.com
Male voters 46% CPC 38% LPC 7% BQ 6% NDP 2% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-17 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-29 years old 38% LPC 36% CPC 18% NDP 6% BQ 1% PPC 1% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-17 338Canada.com
30-44 years old 43% CPC 41% LPC 8% NDP 4% BQ 2% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-17 338Canada.com

45-59 years old 43% CPC 37% LPC 11% BQ 6% NDP 2% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-17 338Canada.com
60+ years old 44% LPC 41% CPC 8% BQ 4% NDP 1% PPC 1% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-17 338Canada.com



Government approval 49% Approve 30% Disapprove 21% Neutral/Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-17 338Canada.com
Abacus Data Government approval tracker 49% 30%2025-08-17 50% 27%2025-08-04 52% 27%2025-07-13 52% 25%2025-06-29 52% 25%2025-06-18 53% 23%2025-06-04 50% 24%2025-05-18 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove


Impression / favourability of Mark Carney 48% Positive / favourable 30% Negative / unfavourable 22% Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-17 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Mark Carney 48% 30%2025-08-17 48% 29%2025-08-04 49% 28%2025-07-13 49% 28%2025-06-29 48% 29%2025-06-18 51% 27%2025-06-04 49% 29%2025-05-18 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 42% Negative / unfavourable 40% Positive / favourable 18% Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-17 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 40% 42%2025-08-17 42% 41%2025-08-04 38% 42%2025-07-13 39% 43%2025-06-29 41% 41%2025-06-18 39% 44%2025-06-04 40% 43%2025-05-18 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable



P#939