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About this Liaison Strategies federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Liaison Strategies in January 2026, with a middle field date of January 25, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,000 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Liaison Strategies (January 2026), the Liberal Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party loses two points from 10% to 8% (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 43% ▲1 LPC 35% ▲1 CPC 8% ▼2 NDP 7% ▼1 BQ 3% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-25 338Canada.com
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211 LPC 89 CPC 31 BQ 10 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 5 2 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 7 3 QC 38 31 8 1 ON 96 23 2 1 MB 7 6 1 SK 13 1 AB 18 17 2 BC 22 17 3 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Liaison Strategies federal poll January 25, 2026 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Liaison Strategies




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 54% ▲1 LPC 35% ▲5 CPC 6% ▼3 NDP 3% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-25 338Canada.com
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Quebec 38% ▲3 LPC 33% ▼4 BQ 20% ▲2 CPC 6% NDP 2% ▼1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-25 338Canada.com
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Ontario 48% LPC 35% CPC 11% ▼1 NDP 3% ▲1 PPC 1% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-25 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 48% ▲5 CPC 32% ▼1 LPC 9% ▼3 NDP 3% GPC 2% ▼3 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-25 338Canada.com
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Alberta 35% ▼23 CPC 33% ▲6 LPC 6% ▲2 GPC 3% ▲1 PPC 2% ▼3 NDP Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-25 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 42% ▼2 LPC 38% ▲5 CPC 11% ▼1 NDP 4% ▼1 GPC 3% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-25 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 46% ▲4 LPC 32% CPC 8% ▼2 NDP 7% ▼1 BQ 3% ▲1 GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-25 338Canada.com
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Male voters 40% ▼1 LPC 38% ▲4 CPC 9% NDP 7% ▼1 BQ 3% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-25 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 40% LPC 40% ▲3 CPC 7% ▼3 NDP 5% ▼2 BQ 4% ▲1 GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-25 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 40% ▲4 LPC 37% ▲1 CPC 9% NDP 8% ▼1 BQ 2% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-25 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 49% LPC 31% ▼1 CPC 7% BQ 6% ▼1 NDP 4% ▲1 GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-25 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 41% LPC 31% ▲2 CPC 12% ▼1 NDP 9% ▼2 BQ 2% ▼1 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-25 338Canada.com
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Government approval 64% ▲2 Approve 33% Disapprove 3% ▼2 Neutral/Unsure Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-25 338Canada.com
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Liaison Strategies Government approval tracker 64% 33%2026-01-25 62% 33%2026-01-18 57% 36%2026-01-11 56% 37%2026-01-07 55% 39%2025-12-30 56% 40%2025-12-24 57% 39%2025-12-20 59% 36%2025-11-29 61% 34%2025-11-08 62% 32%2025-11-02 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 56% ▼1 Negative / unfavourable 37% Positive / favourable 7% ▲1 Neutral / Unsure Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-25 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 37% 56%2026-01-25 37% 57%2026-01-18 38% 54%2025-09-20 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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