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Canada

About this poll


This federal poll was fielded by Abacus Data in September 2025, with a middle field date of September 29, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,504 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (September 2025), the Conservative Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), the Liberal Party remains stable at 40%, and the Bloc Québécois remains stable at 7%.

You can read more information on this poll here.

Canada 41% CPC 40% LPC 7% BQ 7% NDP 3% GPC 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-09-29 338Canada.com



Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 47% LPC 41% CPC 6% NDP 2% PPC 2% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-09-29 338Canada.com
Quebec 37% LPC 30% BQ 26% CPC 3% GPC 1% PPC 1% NDP Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-09-29 338Canada.com
Ontario 45% LPC 42% CPC 7% NDP 3% GPC 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-09-29 338Canada.com

Manitoba/Saskatchewan 53% CPC 32% LPC 7% GPC 7% NDP 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-09-29 338Canada.com
Alberta 57% CPC 25% LPC 11% NDP 3% PPC 1% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-09-29 338Canada.com
British Columbia 41% LPC 41% CPC 15% NDP 2% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-09-29 338Canada.com


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 39% LPC 39% CPC 10% NDP 7% BQ 3% GPC 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-09-29 338Canada.com
Male voters 41% LPC 41% CPC 7% BQ 6% NDP 3% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-09-29 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-29 years old 40% LPC 35% CPC 9% NDP 7% GPC 5% BQ 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-09-29 338Canada.com
30-44 years old 40% LPC 39% CPC 9% NDP 5% BQ 4% GPC 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-09-29 338Canada.com

45-59 years old 45% CPC 37% LPC 8% NDP 6% BQ 3% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-09-29 338Canada.com
60+ years old 42% LPC 40% CPC 10% BQ 5% NDP 1% PPC 1% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-09-29 338Canada.com



Government approval 46% Approve 31% Disapprove 23% Neutral/Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-09-29 338Canada.com
Abacus Data Government approval tracker 46% 31%2025-09-29 50% 30%2025-09-15 48% 30%2025-08-31 49% 30%2025-08-17 50% 27%2025-08-04 52% 27%2025-07-13 52% 25%2025-06-29 52% 25%2025-06-18 53% 23%2025-06-04 50% 24%2025-05-18 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove


Impression / favourability of Mark Carney 45% Positive / favourable 31% Negative / unfavourable 24% Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-09-29 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Mark Carney 45% 31%2025-09-29 48% 30%2025-09-15 45% 32%2025-08-31 48% 30%2025-08-17 48% 29%2025-08-04 49% 28%2025-07-13 49% 28%2025-06-29 48% 29%2025-06-18 51% 27%2025-06-04 49% 29%2025-05-18 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 42% Negative / unfavourable 40% Positive / favourable 18% Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-09-29 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 40% 42%2025-09-29 40% 41%2025-09-15 39% 42%2025-08-31 40% 42%2025-08-17 42% 41%2025-08-04 38% 42%2025-07-13 39% 43%2025-06-29 41% 41%2025-06-18 39% 44%2025-06-04 40% 43%2025-05-18 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable



P#959