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About this Liaison Strategies federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Liaison Strategies in November 2025, with a middle field date of November 29, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,000 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Liaison Strategies (November 2025), the Liberal Party loses three points from 44% to 41% (variation similar to moe), the Conservative Party remains stable at 36%, and the New Democratic Party climbs two points from 10% to 12% (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 41% ▼3 LPC 36% CPC 12% ▲2 NDP 5% ▼1 BQ 2% GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-11-29 338Canada.com
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189 LPC 116 CPC 21 BQ 15 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 4 3 PEI 3 1 NS 8 3 NB 6 4 QC 45 21 11 1 ON 83 35 3 1 MB 7 6 1 SK 13 1 AB 26 9 2 BC 22 13 7 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Liaison Strategies federal poll November 29, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Liaison Strategies




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 46% ▼8 LPC 39% ▲8 CPC 13% ▲2 NDP 2% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-11-29 338Canada.com
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Quebec 39% ▼3 LPC 26% ▲1 CPC 22% ▼2 BQ 10% ▲2 NDP 1% GPC 1% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-11-29 338Canada.com
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Ontario 45% ▼4 LPC 35% CPC 13% ▲3 NDP 3% GPC 3% ▲2 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-11-29 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 50% ▼2 CPC 30% ▼2 LPC 11% NDP 5% ▲2 PPC 2% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-11-29 338Canada.com
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Alberta 52% ▼3 CPC 33% ▲2 LPC 9% NDP 1% ▲1 GPC 1% ▼2 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-11-29 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 40% ▼6 LPC 33% ▼3 CPC 19% ▲6 NDP 4% ▲2 GPC 4% ▲2 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-11-29 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 42% ▼2 LPC 36% ▼2 CPC 11% ▲2 NDP 4% BQ 3% ▲1 GPC 3% ▲2 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-11-29 338Canada.com
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Male voters 37% ▼5 LPC 36% ▲2 CPC 14% ▲3 NDP 6% ▼2 BQ 2% ▲1 GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-11-29 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 40% ▲1 CPC 36% ▼6 LPC 13% ▲3 NDP 4% BQ 3% ▲1 GPC 3% ▲2 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-11-29 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 38% ▼3 CPC 37% LPC 14% ▲3 NDP 6% BQ 3% PPC 1% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-11-29 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 46% ▼3 LPC 35% ▲1 CPC 9% ▲1 NDP 4% ▼1 BQ 3% ▲2 PPC 1% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-11-29 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 43% ▼6 LPC 29% ▲1 CPC 14% ▲3 NDP 7% BQ 4% ▲1 GPC 1% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-11-29 338Canada.com
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Government approval 59% ▼2 Approve 36% ▲2 Disapprove 5% Neutral/Unsure Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-11-29 338Canada.com
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Liaison Strategies Government approval tracker 59% 36%2025-11-29 61% 34%2025-11-08 62% 32%2025-11-02 60% 35%2025-09-20 61% 33%2025-08-26 64% 32%2025-08-07 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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