logo
Canada

About this Abacus Data federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Abacus Data in June 2025, with a middle field date of June 18, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,500 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (June 2025), the Liberal Party remains stable at 42%, the Conservative Party remains stable at 39%, and the New Democratic Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 42% LPC 39% CPC 7% ▼1 NDP 6% BQ 3% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-18 338Canada.com

Past polls from Abacus Data




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 48% ▼8 LPC 38% ▲5 CPC 8% ▲5 GPC 6% NDP Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-18 338Canada.com
Quebec 38% ▼4 LPC 28% ▼1 BQ 24% ▲2 CPC 5% ▲2 NDP 3% ▼1 GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-18 338Canada.com
Ontario 48% ▲1 LPC 41% CPC 6% ▼1 NDP 2% GPC 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-18 338Canada.com

Manitoba/Saskatchewan 45% ▼9 CPC 39% ▲8 LPC 13% NDP 2% ▲1 GPC 2% ▲2 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-18 338Canada.com
Alberta 65% ▲2 CPC 24% ▼2 LPC 6% ▼4 NDP 2% ▲2 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-18 338Canada.com
British Columbia 45% ▲6 LPC 36% ▼2 CPC 12% ▼3 NDP 5% GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-18 338Canada.com


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 44% ▲1 LPC 38% ▼1 CPC 8% ▲1 NDP 6% BQ 3% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-18 338Canada.com
Male voters 41% LPC 41% ▲1 CPC 7% BQ 6% ▼3 NDP 3% ▲1 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-18 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-29 years old 39% CPC 37% ▼2 LPC 13% ▲2 NDP 6% ▲3 GPC 4% ▼1 BQ Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-18 338Canada.com
30-44 years old 43% ▼2 CPC 40% ▲5 LPC 7% ▼3 NDP 6% BQ 2% ▼1 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-18 338Canada.com

45-59 years old 44% ▲4 LPC 38% ▼3 CPC 7% BQ 5% ▼2 NDP 4% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-18 338Canada.com
60+ years old 47% ▼4 LPC 37% ▲4 CPC 7% BQ 5% ▼1 NDP 2% ▲1 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-18 338Canada.com



Government approval 52% ▼1 Approve 25% ▲2 Disapprove 23% ▼1 Neutral/Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-18 338Canada.com
Abacus Data Government approval tracker 52% 25%2025-06-18 53% 23%2025-06-04 50% 24%2025-05-18 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove


Impression / favourability of Mark Carney 48% ▼3 Positive / favourable 29% ▲2 Negative / unfavourable 23% ▲1 Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-18 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Mark Carney 48% 29%2025-06-18 51% 27%2025-06-04 49% 29%2025-05-18 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 41% ▼3 Negative / unfavourable 41% ▲2 Positive / favourable 18% ▲1 Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-18 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 41% 41%2025-06-18 39% 44%2025-06-04 40% 43%2025-05-18 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable



Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Loading…


P#916