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Canada

About this poll


This federal poll was fielded by Abacus Data in June 2025, with a middle field date of June 18, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,500 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (June 2025), the Liberal Party remains stable at 42%, the Conservative Party remains stable at 39%, and the New Democratic Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.

Canada 42% LPC 39% CPC 7% NDP 6% BQ 3% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-18 338Canada.com




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 48% LPC 38% CPC 8% GPC 6% NDP Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-18 338Canada.com
Quebec 38% LPC 28% BQ 24% CPC 5% NDP 3% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-18 338Canada.com
Ontario 48% LPC 41% CPC 6% NDP 2% PPC 2% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-18 338Canada.com

Manitoba/Saskatchewan 45% CPC 39% LPC 13% NDP 2% PPC 2% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-18 338Canada.com
Alberta 65% CPC 24% LPC 6% NDP 2% PPC 2% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-18 338Canada.com
British Columbia 45% LPC 36% CPC 12% NDP 5% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-18 338Canada.com


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 44% LPC 38% CPC 8% NDP 6% BQ 3% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-18 338Canada.com
Male voters 41% LPC 41% CPC 7% BQ 6% NDP 3% GPC 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-18 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-29 years old 39% CPC 37% LPC 13% NDP 6% GPC 4% BQ Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-18 338Canada.com
30-44 years old 43% CPC 40% LPC 7% NDP 6% BQ 2% PPC 2% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-18 338Canada.com

45-59 years old 44% LPC 38% CPC 7% BQ 5% NDP 4% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-18 338Canada.com
60+ years old 47% LPC 37% CPC 7% BQ 5% NDP 2% PPC 2% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-06-18 338Canada.com



P#914