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About this Pallas Data federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Pallas Data in December 2025, with a middle field date of December 14, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,074 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±3.0%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Pallas Data (October 2025), the Liberal Party remains stable at 41%, the Conservative Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), and the Bloc Québécois climbs two points from 6% to 8% (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 41% LPC 38% ▲1 CPC 8% ▲2 BQ 8% ▼3 NDP 4% ▲1 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-12-14 338Canada.com
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160 LPC 138 CPC 31 BQ 12 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 5 2 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 7 3 QC 39 31 7 1 ON 70 48 3 1 MB 8 4 2 SK 13 1 AB 35 1 1 BC 22 16 4 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Pallas Data federal poll December 14, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Pallas Data




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 54% ▼2 LPC 31% ▲1 CPC 9% NDP 4% ▼1 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-12-14 338Canada.com
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Quebec 40% LPC 35% ▲9 BQ 16% ▼7 CPC 5% ▼1 NDP 4% ▲2 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-12-14 338Canada.com
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Ontario 47% ▲2 LPC 41% ▲3 CPC 9% ▼2 NDP 2% ▼2 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-12-14 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 58% ▲10 CPC 24% ▼8 LPC 10% ▼5 NDP 4% ▲3 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-12-14 338Canada.com
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Alberta 62% ▲6 CPC 28% ▲5 LPC 7% ▼7 NDP Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-12-14 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 39% ▲1 CPC 37% ▼9 LPC 12% ▲12 GPC 9% ▼6 NDP Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-12-14 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 47% ▲1 LPC 33% ▲3 CPC 8% ▼7 NDP 7% ▲1 BQ 4% ▲2 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-12-14 338Canada.com
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Male voters 42% ▼3 CPC 35% ▼2 LPC 10% ▲3 BQ 8% ▲2 NDP 4% ▲1 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-12-14 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 44% ▼3 CPC 31% ▲6 LPC 9% ▲2 BQ 8% ▼6 NDP 8% ▲4 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-12-14 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 44% ▲3 CPC 37% ▲1 LPC 9% ▲4 BQ 7% ▼6 NDP Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-12-14 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 45% ▼6 LPC 37% ▲5 CPC 7% ▼1 NDP 6% ▼1 BQ 3% GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-12-14 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 53% ▼3 LPC 25% ▼2 CPC 9% ▲2 BQ 9% ▲1 NDP 3% ▲2 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-12-14 338Canada.com
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