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About this Abacus Data federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Abacus Data in January 2026, with a middle field date of January 14, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=2,008 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.2%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (January 2026), the Liberal Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party remains stable at 8%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 41% ▲1 LPC 39% ▼1 CPC 8% NDP 7% BQ 3% GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-01-14 338Canada.com

Past federal polls from Abacus Data

LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ PPC Voting intentions % 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 2025-04-26 LPC 41% CPC 39% NDP 10% BQ 6% PPC 3% GPC 1% 2025-04-26 2025-05-18 LPC 41% CPC 40% NDP 8% BQ 7% GPC 3% PPC 1% 2025-05-18 2025-06-04 LPC 42% CPC 39% NDP 8% BQ 6% GPC 3% PPC 1% 2025-06-04 2025-06-18 LPC 42% CPC 39% NDP 7% BQ 6% GPC 3% PPC 1% 2025-06-18 2025-06-29 LPC 41% CPC 40% NDP 9% BQ 7% PPC 2% GPC 2% 2025-06-29 2025-07-13 LPC 43% CPC 40% NDP 7% BQ 7% GPC 3% PPC 1% 2025-07-13 2025-08-04 LPC 43% CPC 40% NDP 8% BQ 6% PPC 2% GPC 2% 2025-08-04 2025-08-17 CPC 41% LPC 39% NDP 7% BQ 7% PPC 2% GPC 2% 2025-08-17 2025-08-31 LPC 43% CPC 40% BQ 7% NDP 6% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-08-31 2025-09-15 CPC 40% LPC 40% NDP 8% BQ 7% GPC 3% PPC 1% 2025-09-15 2025-09-29 CPC 41% LPC 40% NDP 7% BQ 7% GPC 3% PPC 2% 2025-09-29 2025-10-12 CPC 41% LPC 40% NDP 8% BQ 7% GPC 3% PPC 1% 2025-10-12 2025-10-27 CPC 42% LPC 40% NDP 8% BQ 6% GPC 3% PPC 1% 2025-10-27 2025-11-06 CPC 41% LPC 40% NDP 8% BQ 7% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-11-06 2025-11-24 LPC 41% CPC 40% NDP 8% BQ 7% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-11-24 2025-11-30 CPC 41% LPC 41% NDP 7% BQ 7% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 CPC 41% LPC 41% NDP 9% BQ 6% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-12-07 2026-01-12 CPC 40% LPC 40% NDP 8% BQ 7% GPC 3% PPC 1% 2026-01-12 2026-01-14 LPC 41% CPC 39% NDP 8% BQ 7% GPC 3% PPC 2% 2026-01-14 January 18, 2026
Hover over and click on the coloured dots to access poll details.



Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 52% ▲7 LPC 38% ▼4 CPC 6% ▼2 NDP 2% ▲1 PPC 2% ▼1 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-01-14 338Canada.com
Quebec 38% ▲1 LPC 32% ▲1 BQ 25% ▼1 CPC 1% PPC 1% ▼2 GPC 1% ▼1 NDP Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-01-14 338Canada.com
Ontario 44% LPC 40% ▼3 CPC 8% NDP 4% ▲2 GPC 3% ▲2 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-01-14 338Canada.com

Manitoba/Saskatchewan 50% ▼2 CPC 36% ▲2 LPC 11% NDP 2% GPC 1% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-01-14 338Canada.com
Alberta 58% CPC 32% ▲6 LPC 8% ▼3 NDP 1% ▼1 PPC 1% ▼1 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-01-14 338Canada.com
British Columbia 43% ▲2 LPC 37% CPC 14% NDP 5% GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-01-14 338Canada.com


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 43% ▲1 LPC 32% ▼5 CPC 9% ▼1 NDP 8% ▲1 BQ 3% GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-01-14 338Canada.com
Male voters 45% ▲1 CPC 40% ▲2 LPC 6% NDP 5% ▼2 BQ 3% ▲1 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-01-14 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-29 years old 46% ▼4 CPC 34% ▲7 LPC 8% ▼6 NDP 7% ▲3 GPC 3% ▲1 BQ 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-01-14 338Canada.com
30-44 years old 39% ▼2 CPC 37% ▲2 LPC 10% ▲1 NDP 6% ▼2 BQ 2% ▲1 PPC 2% ▼1 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-01-14 338Canada.com

45-59 years old 41% ▲2 LPC 36% ▼7 CPC 9% ▲2 BQ 9% ▲3 NDP 3% ▲1 PPC 2% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-01-14 338Canada.com
60+ years old 50% ▼2 LPC 36% ▲4 CPC 8% ▼1 BQ 4% ▼1 NDP 1% PPC 1% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-01-14 338Canada.com





Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 48% Negative / unfavourable 35% Positive / favourable 17% Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-01-14 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 35% 48%2026-01-14 35% 48%2026-01-12 39% 43%2025-12-07 39% 42%2025-11-24 37% 44%2025-11-06 39% 42%2025-10-27 39% 42%2025-10-12 40% 42%2025-09-29 40% 41%2025-09-15 39% 42%2025-08-31 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable



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