About this poll

This federal poll was fielded by Innovative Research in May 2025, with a middle field date of May 17, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=2,517 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.0%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Innovative Research (April 2025), the Liberal Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party climbs two points from 37% to 39% (variation similar to moe), and the New Democratic Party loses three points from 11% to 8%.

You can read more information on this poll here.