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Canada

About this poll


This federal poll was fielded by Abacus Data in August 2025, with a middle field date of August 31, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,500 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (August 2025), the Liberal Party climbs four points from 39% to 43%, the Conservative Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), and the Bloc Québécois remains stable at 7%.

You can read more information on this poll here.

Canada 43% LPC 40% CPC 7% BQ 6% NDP 2% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-31 338Canada.com



Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 54% LPC 36% CPC 3% NDP 2% PPC 2% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-31 338Canada.com
Quebec 41% LPC 30% BQ 24% CPC 2% GPC 2% NDP Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-31 338Canada.com
Ontario 47% LPC 43% CPC 5% NDP 2% PPC 2% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-31 338Canada.com

Manitoba/Saskatchewan 50% CPC 39% LPC 10% NDP 1% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-31 338Canada.com
Alberta 58% CPC 29% LPC 10% NDP 1% PPC 1% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-31 338Canada.com
British Columbia 42% CPC 39% LPC 13% NDP 5% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-31 338Canada.com


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 43% LPC 36% CPC 9% NDP 7% BQ 3% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-31 338Canada.com
Male voters 44% CPC 42% LPC 6% BQ 4% NDP 2% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-31 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-29 years old 46% LPC 33% CPC 11% NDP 5% BQ 3% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-31 338Canada.com
30-44 years old 43% LPC 39% CPC 8% NDP 6% BQ 2% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-31 338Canada.com

45-59 years old 49% CPC 37% LPC 6% BQ 4% NDP 2% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-31 338Canada.com
60+ years old 45% LPC 38% CPC 9% BQ 4% NDP 3% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-31 338Canada.com



Government approval 48% Approve 30% Disapprove 22% Neutral/Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-31 338Canada.com
Abacus Data Government approval tracker 48% 30%2025-08-31 49% 30%2025-08-17 50% 27%2025-08-04 52% 27%2025-07-13 52% 25%2025-06-29 52% 25%2025-06-18 53% 23%2025-06-04 50% 24%2025-05-18 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove


Impression / favourability of Mark Carney 45% Positive / favourable 32% Negative / unfavourable 23% Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-31 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Mark Carney 45% 32%2025-08-31 48% 30%2025-08-17 48% 29%2025-08-04 49% 28%2025-07-13 49% 28%2025-06-29 48% 29%2025-06-18 51% 27%2025-06-04 49% 29%2025-05-18 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 42% Negative / unfavourable 39% Positive / favourable 19% Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-31 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 39% 42%2025-08-31 40% 42%2025-08-17 42% 41%2025-08-04 38% 42%2025-07-13 39% 43%2025-06-29 41% 41%2025-06-18 39% 44%2025-06-04 40% 43%2025-05-18 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable



P#944