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About this Abacus Data federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Abacus Data in August 2025, with a middle field date of August 31, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,500 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (August 2025), the Liberal Party climbs four points from 39% to 43%, the Conservative Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), and the Bloc Québécois remains stable at 7%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 43% ▲4 LPC 40% ▼1 CPC 7% BQ 6% ▼1 NDP 2% GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-31 338Canada.com

Past polls from Abacus Data




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 54% ▲10 LPC 36% ▼6 CPC 3% ▼7 NDP 2% ▲2 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-31 338Canada.com
Quebec 41% ▲1 LPC 30% ▼6 BQ 24% ▲3 CPC 2% NDP 2% ▲2 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-31 338Canada.com
Ontario 47% ▲1 LPC 43% ▼1 CPC 5% ▼3 NDP 2% GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-31 338Canada.com

Manitoba/Saskatchewan 50% ▼2 CPC 39% ▲4 LPC 10% ▲1 NDP 1% ▼2 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-31 338Canada.com
Alberta 58% ▼4 CPC 29% ▲3 LPC 10% ▲2 NDP 1% ▼1 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-31 338Canada.com
British Columbia 42% ▼1 CPC 39% ▼3 LPC 13% ▲1 NDP 5% ▲2 GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-31 338Canada.com


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 43% ▼1 LPC 36% CPC 9% NDP 7% ▼1 BQ 3% ▲1 GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-31 338Canada.com
Male voters 44% ▼2 CPC 42% ▲4 LPC 6% ▼1 BQ 4% ▼2 NDP 2% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-31 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-29 years old 46% ▲8 LPC 33% ▼3 CPC 11% ▼7 NDP 5% ▼1 BQ 3% ▲2 GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-31 338Canada.com
30-44 years old 43% ▲2 LPC 39% ▼4 CPC 8% NDP 6% ▲2 BQ 2% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-31 338Canada.com

45-59 years old 49% ▲6 CPC 37% LPC 6% ▼5 BQ 4% ▼2 NDP 2% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-31 338Canada.com
60+ years old 45% ▲1 LPC 38% ▼3 CPC 9% ▲1 BQ 4% NDP 3% ▲2 GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-31 338Canada.com



Government approval 48% ▼1 Approve 30% Disapprove 22% ▲1 Neutral/Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-31 338Canada.com
Abacus Data Government approval tracker 48% 30%2025-08-31 49% 30%2025-08-17 50% 27%2025-08-04 52% 27%2025-07-13 52% 25%2025-06-29 52% 25%2025-06-18 53% 23%2025-06-04 50% 24%2025-05-18 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove


Impression / favourability of Mark Carney 45% ▼3 Positive / favourable 32% ▲2 Negative / unfavourable 23% ▲1 Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-31 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Mark Carney 45% 32%2025-08-31 48% 30%2025-08-17 48% 29%2025-08-04 49% 28%2025-07-13 49% 28%2025-06-29 48% 29%2025-06-18 51% 27%2025-06-04 49% 29%2025-05-18 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 42% Negative / unfavourable 39% ▼1 Positive / favourable 19% ▲1 Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-31 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 39% 42%2025-08-31 40% 42%2025-08-17 42% 41%2025-08-04 38% 42%2025-07-13 39% 43%2025-06-29 41% 41%2025-06-18 39% 44%2025-06-04 40% 43%2025-05-18 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable



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