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About this Liaison Strategies federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Liaison Strategies in December 2025, with a middle field date of December 20, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,000 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Liaison Strategies (November 2025), the Liberal Party loses three points from 41% to 38% (variation similar to moe), the Conservative Party climbs two points from 36% to 38% (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party remains stable at 12%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 38% ▼3 LPC 38% ▲2 CPC 12% NDP 7% ▲2 BQ 3% ▲1 GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-20 338Canada.com
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159 LPC 138 CPC 30 BQ 14 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 4 3 PEI 3 1 NS 7 4 NB 6 4 QC 38 30 9 1 ON 70 48 3 1 MB 7 6 1 SK 13 1 AB 35 1 1 BC 21 14 7 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Liaison Strategies federal poll December 20, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Liaison Strategies




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 44% ▼2 LPC 37% ▼2 CPC 11% ▼2 NDP 3% ▲1 GPC 3% ▲3 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-20 338Canada.com
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Quebec 35% ▼4 LPC 31% ▲9 BQ 23% ▼3 CPC 9% ▼1 NDP 2% ▲1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-20 338Canada.com
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Ontario 43% ▼2 LPC 38% ▲3 CPC 13% NDP 2% ▼1 GPC 1% ▼2 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-20 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 55% ▲5 CPC 29% ▼1 LPC 9% ▼2 NDP 3% ▲1 GPC 2% ▼3 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-20 338Canada.com
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Alberta 62% ▲10 CPC 22% ▼11 LPC 6% ▼3 NDP 5% ▲4 PPC 3% ▲2 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-20 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 40% LPC 36% ▲3 CPC 19% NDP 4% GPC 1% ▼3 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-20 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 38% ▼4 LPC 38% ▲2 CPC 12% ▲1 NDP 7% ▲3 BQ 2% ▼1 GPC 1% ▼2 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-20 338Canada.com
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Male voters 39% ▲3 CPC 36% ▼1 LPC 13% ▼1 NDP 7% ▲1 BQ 3% ▲1 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-20 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 43% ▲3 CPC 32% ▼4 LPC 12% ▼1 NDP 6% ▲2 BQ 3% GPC 1% ▼2 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-20 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 41% ▲3 CPC 33% ▼4 LPC 14% NDP 8% ▲2 BQ 2% ▼1 PPC 1% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-20 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 44% ▼2 LPC 38% ▲3 CPC 8% ▼1 NDP 6% ▲2 BQ 2% ▲1 GPC 1% ▼2 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-20 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 41% ▼2 LPC 29% CPC 14% NDP 9% ▲2 BQ 4% GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-20 338Canada.com
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Government approval 57% ▼2 Approve 39% ▲3 Disapprove 4% ▼1 Neutral/Unsure Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-20 338Canada.com
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Liaison Strategies Government approval tracker 57% 39%2025-12-20 59% 36%2025-11-29 61% 34%2025-11-08 62% 32%2025-11-02 60% 35%2025-09-20 61% 33%2025-08-26 64% 32%2025-08-07 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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