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About this Ipsos federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Ipsos in February 2026, with a middle field date of February 26, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,001 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Ipsos (December 2025), the Liberal Party climbs four points from 40% to 44%, the Conservative Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 44% ▲4 LPC 36% ▼1 CPC 8% ▼1 NDP 7% ▼2 BQ 3% ▲1 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2026-02-26 338Canada.com
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192 LPC 121 CPC 24 BQ 5 NDP 1 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 9 1 QC 46 24 7 1 ON 71 51 MB 6 6 2 SK 13 1 AB 22 13 2 BC 21 21 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Ipsos federal poll February 26, 2026 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Ipsos




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 57% ▼6 LPC 27% ▲3 CPC 12% ▲5 NDP 3% ▲1 GPC 1% ▼3 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2026-02-26 338Canada.com
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Quebec 45% ▲6 LPC 31% ▼8 BQ 19% ▲6 CPC 3% ▲1 NDP 1% ▼2 GPC 1% PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2026-02-26 338Canada.com
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Ontario 46% ▲4 LPC 41% ▼1 CPC 8% ▼2 NDP 4% ▲1 GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2026-02-26 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 44% ▼1 CPC 30% ▼8 LPC 13% ▲12 GPC 12% ▼2 NDP 1% ▼1 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2026-02-26 338Canada.com
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Alberta 49% ▼12 CPC 36% ▲10 LPC 12% ▲2 NDP 2% ▲2 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2026-02-26 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 43% ▲3 LPC 43% ▲2 CPC 11% ▼3 NDP 2% GPC 1% ▼2 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2026-02-26 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 47% ▲8 LPC 31% ▼3 CPC 13% ▲2 NDP 6% ▼4 BQ 3% ▲1 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2026-02-26 338Canada.com
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Male voters 42% ▲1 LPC 41% ▲1 CPC 9% ▲1 BQ 4% ▼3 NDP 4% ▲2 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2026-02-26 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 41% ▲5 CPC 38% ▲1 LPC 12% ▼4 NDP 5% ▼2 BQ 4% ▲1 GPC 1% ▼3 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2026-02-26 338Canada.com
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35-54 years old 39% ▲1 LPC 37% ▼4 CPC 10% ▲3 NDP 7% ▼1 BQ 6% ▲3 GPC 1% ▼2 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2026-02-26 338Canada.com
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55+ years old 53% ▲6 LPC 32% ▼2 CPC 9% ▼2 BQ 4% ▼1 NDP 1% GPC 1% PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2026-02-26 338Canada.com
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