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About this Ipsos federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Ipsos in September 2025, with a middle field date of September 7, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,001 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Ipsos (April 2025), the Liberal Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), and the Bloc Québécois is up one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 43% ▲1 LPC 39% ▲1 CPC 7% ▲1 BQ 7% ▼2 NDP 2% ▲2 PPC 1% ▼1 GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-09-07 338Canada.com
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174 LPC 130 CPC 27 BQ 10 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 9 1 QC 41 27 9 1 ON 68 52 1 1 MB 7 5 2 SK 13 1 AB 33 2 2 BC 22 17 3 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Ipsos federal poll September 7, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Ipsos




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 58% ▲7 LPC 29% ▼8 CPC 9% ▲3 NDP 2% ▼1 GPC 2% ▲2 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-09-07 338Canada.com
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Quebec 41% ▲1 LPC 32% ▲7 BQ 23% ▼1 CPC 3% ▲3 PPC 1% ▼5 NDP Ipsos federal poll | 2025-09-07 338Canada.com
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Ontario 46% ▼1 LPC 42% ▲3 CPC 5% ▼5 NDP 3% ▲1 GPC 3% ▲3 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-09-07 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 50% ▲1 CPC 33% ▲1 LPC 16% ▲1 NDP 1% ▲1 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-09-07 338Canada.com
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Alberta 61% ▲3 CPC 29% ▼2 LPC 8% ▲1 NDP 2% ▲2 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-09-07 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 44% ▲2 LPC 41% ▲2 CPC 13% NDP 2% ▼1 GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-09-07 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 44% LPC 40% ▲5 CPC 8% ▼3 NDP 4% ▼2 BQ 3% ▲2 PPC 1% ▼2 GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-09-07 338Canada.com
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Male voters 42% ▲2 LPC 40% ▼2 CPC 10% ▲5 BQ 5% ▼3 NDP 2% ▲1 PPC 1% ▼1 GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-09-07 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 45% ▲7 LPC 34% ▼5 CPC 12% ▼3 NDP 5% ▲2 BQ 3% ▲2 PPC 1% ▼3 GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-09-07 338Canada.com
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35-54 years old 46% ▲3 CPC 39% ▲1 LPC 8% ▲3 BQ 4% ▲1 PPC 3% ▼5 NDP 1% ▼1 GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-09-07 338Canada.com
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55+ years old 44% ▼4 LPC 38% ▲4 CPC 8% BQ 6% ▼1 NDP 2% ▲1 GPC 1% ▲1 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-09-07 338Canada.com
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Government approval 58% ▲10 Approve 42% ▼8 Disapprove Ipsos federal poll | 2025-09-07 338Canada.com
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Ipsos Government approval tracker 58% 42%2025-09-07 48% 50%2025-04-24 50% 50%2025-04-18 52% 48%2025-04-09 48% 50%2025-03-25 43% 57%2023-09-17 42% 58%2022-09-20 46% 52%2021-09-17 45% 54%2021-09-05 46% 54%2021-08-29 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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