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About this Liaison Strategies federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Liaison Strategies in September 2025, with a middle field date of September 20, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,000 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Liaison Strategies (August 2025), the Liberal Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party climbs two points from 35% to 37% (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party remains stable at 10%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 43% ▼1 LPC 37% ▲2 CPC 10% NDP 5% BQ 2% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-09-20 338Canada.com
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194 LPC 113 CPC 19 BQ 15 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 4 3 PEI 4 NS 10 1 NB 6 4 QC 47 19 11 1 ON 81 37 3 1 MB 7 5 2 SK 13 1 AB 24 11 2 BC 21 15 6 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Liaison Strategies federal poll September 20, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Liaison Strategies




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 48% ▼11 LPC 34% ▲11 CPC 9% ▼1 NDP 3% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-09-20 338Canada.com
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Quebec 43% ▼4 LPC 26% ▲4 CPC 23% BQ 6% NDP 1% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-09-20 338Canada.com
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Ontario 47% LPC 38% ▲2 CPC 10% ▼1 NDP 2% ▼1 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-09-20 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 48% CPC 31% LPC 12% NDP 5% GPC 3% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-09-20 338Canada.com
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Alberta 51% ▼2 CPC 34% ▲2 LPC 10% ▲1 NDP 2% ▼1 PPC 1% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-09-20 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 41% LPC 38% CPC 16% NDP 3% ▲1 PPC 2% ▼1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-09-20 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 45% ▼2 LPC 38% ▲2 CPC 9% NDP 3% BQ 2% GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-09-20 338Canada.com
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Male voters 40% ▼1 LPC 37% ▲3 CPC 12% NDP 8% BQ 2% ▲1 PPC 1% ▼1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-09-20 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 46% LPC 39% ▲1 CPC 9% NDP 4% BQ 2% PPC 1% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-09-20 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 40% ▲1 CPC 36% ▼3 LPC 13% ▲1 NDP 5% ▼1 BQ 2% GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-09-20 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 45% ▼2 LPC 35% ▲3 CPC 9% NDP 6% BQ 2% ▼1 GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-09-20 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 44% ▼1 LPC 33% ▲3 CPC 10% ▼1 NDP 7% BQ 3% GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-09-20 338Canada.com
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Government approval 60% ▼1 Approve 35% ▲2 Disapprove 5% ▼1 Neutral/Unsure Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-09-20 338Canada.com
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Liaison Strategies Government approval tracker 60% 35%2025-09-20 61% 33%2025-08-26 64% 32%2025-08-07 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 54% Negative / unfavourable 38% Positive / favourable 8% Neutral / Unsure Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-09-20 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 38% 54%2025-09-20 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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Impression / favourability of Don Davies 68% Neutral / Unsure 21% Positive / favourable 11% Negative / unfavourable Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-09-20 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Don Davies 21% 11%2025-09-20 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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