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Canada

About this poll


This federal poll was fielded by Abacus Data in October 2025, with a middle field date of October 27, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=2,922 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±1.8%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (October 2025), the Conservative Party is up one point (variation similar to moe), the Liberal Party remains stable at 40%, and the New Democratic Party remains stable at 8%.

You can read more information on this poll here.

Canada 42% CPC 40% LPC 8% NDP 6% BQ 3% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-10-27 338Canada.com



Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 45% LPC 40% CPC 11% NDP 3% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-10-27 338Canada.com
Quebec 40% LPC 27% BQ 25% CPC 3% GPC 2% NDP 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-10-27 338Canada.com
Ontario 44% LPC 44% CPC 8% NDP 3% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-10-27 338Canada.com

Manitoba/Saskatchewan 54% CPC 31% LPC 9% NDP 3% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-10-27 338Canada.com
Alberta 62% CPC 25% LPC 12% NDP 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-10-27 338Canada.com
British Columbia 41% CPC 40% LPC 13% NDP 4% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-10-27 338Canada.com


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 40% LPC 38% CPC 11% NDP 5% BQ 4% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-10-27 338Canada.com
Male voters 46% CPC 39% LPC 6% BQ 6% NDP 2% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-10-27 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-29 years old 40% CPC 38% LPC 10% NDP 5% BQ 4% GPC 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-10-27 338Canada.com
30-44 years old 45% CPC 36% LPC 12% NDP 3% GPC 1% PPC 1% BQ Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-10-27 338Canada.com

45-59 years old 47% CPC 32% LPC 9% BQ 8% NDP 2% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-10-27 338Canada.com
60+ years old 49% LPC 37% CPC 8% BQ 5% NDP 1% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-10-27 338Canada.com



Government approval 47% Approve 34% Disapprove 19% Neutral/Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-10-27 338Canada.com
Abacus Data Government approval tracker 47% 34%2025-10-27 48% 32%2025-10-12 46% 31%2025-09-29 50% 30%2025-09-15 48% 30%2025-08-31 49% 30%2025-08-17 50% 27%2025-08-04 52% 27%2025-07-13 52% 25%2025-06-29 52% 25%2025-06-18 53% 23%2025-06-04 50% 24%2025-05-18 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove


Impression / favourability of Mark Carney 46% Positive / favourable 32% Negative / unfavourable 22% Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-10-27 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Mark Carney 46% 32%2025-10-27 46% 31%2025-10-12 45% 31%2025-09-29 48% 30%2025-09-15 45% 32%2025-08-31 48% 30%2025-08-17 48% 29%2025-08-04 49% 28%2025-07-13 49% 28%2025-06-29 48% 29%2025-06-18 51% 27%2025-06-04 49% 29%2025-05-18 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 42% Negative / unfavourable 39% Positive / favourable 19% Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-10-27 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 39% 42%2025-10-27 39% 42%2025-10-12 40% 42%2025-09-29 40% 41%2025-09-15 39% 42%2025-08-31 40% 42%2025-08-17 42% 41%2025-08-04 38% 42%2025-07-13 39% 43%2025-06-29 41% 41%2025-06-18 39% 44%2025-06-04 40% 43%2025-05-18 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable



P#968