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About this Liaison Strategies federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Liaison Strategies in March 2026, with a middle field date of March 1, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,000 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Liaison Strategies (February 2026), the Liberal Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party loses three points from 33% to 30% (variation similar to moe), and the New Democratic Party remains stable at 9%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 44% ▲1 LPC 30% ▼3 CPC 9% NDP 6% BQ 4% ▲2 PPC 3% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-03-01 338Canada.com
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239 LPC 68 CPC 25 BQ 9 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 5 2 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 7 3 QC 45 25 7 1 ON 103 16 2 1 MB 7 5 2 SK 9 5 AB 18 17 2 BC 33 8 1 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Liaison Strategies federal poll March 1, 2026 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Liaison Strategies




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 54% ▲1 LPC 35% CPC 7% NDP 2% PPC 1% ▼2 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-03-01 338Canada.com
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Quebec 41% ▲1 LPC 28% BQ 18% ▼2 CPC 6% NDP 3% GPC 2% ▲2 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-03-01 338Canada.com
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Ontario 47% LPC 30% ▼3 CPC 12% NDP 5% ▲2 PPC 3% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-03-01 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 43% ▼4 CPC 36% LPC 10% NDP 3% ▲1 PPC 1% ▼1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-03-01 338Canada.com
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Alberta 44% ▼4 CPC 39% ▲1 LPC 5% NDP 5% ▲2 PPC 2% ▼1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-03-01 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 44% LPC 33% ▼2 CPC 11% NDP 5% GPC 4% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-03-01 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 48% LPC 29% ▼2 CPC 8% NDP 6% BQ 3% GPC 3% ▲2 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-03-01 338Canada.com
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Male voters 40% LPC 31% ▼3 CPC 10% NDP 7% BQ 5% ▲2 PPC 3% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-03-01 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 38% ▼2 CPC 36% ▼1 LPC 8% NDP 5% ▼1 BQ 4% ▲1 GPC 4% ▲2 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-03-01 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 45% ▲1 LPC 28% ▼4 CPC 10% NDP 7% BQ 4% ▲2 PPC 3% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-03-01 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 52% ▲2 LPC 27% ▼3 CPC 7% NDP 5% BQ 4% ▲1 PPC 2% ▼2 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-03-01 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 43% LPC 27% ▼2 CPC 14% NDP 8% BQ 4% ▲2 PPC 2% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-03-01 338Canada.com
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Government approval 64% ▲3 Approve 31% ▼2 Disapprove 5% ▼1 Neutral/Unsure Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-03-01 338Canada.com
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Liaison Strategies Government approval tracker 64% 31%2026-03-01 61% 33%2026-02-22 63% 32%2026-02-15 63% 32%2026-02-08 62% 33%2026-02-01 64% 33%2026-01-25 62% 33%2026-01-18 57% 36%2026-01-11 56% 37%2026-01-07 55% 39%2025-12-30 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 54% ▼1 Negative / unfavourable 36% ▲1 Positive / favourable 10% Neutral / Unsure Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-03-01 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 36% 54%2026-03-01 35% 55%2026-02-22 37% 54%2026-02-15 39% 52%2026-02-08 39% 53%2026-02-01 37% 56%2026-01-25 37% 57%2026-01-18 38% 54%2025-09-20 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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