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About this Liaison Strategies federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Liaison Strategies in February 2026, with a middle field date of February 1, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,000 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Liaison Strategies (January 2026), the Liberal Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party remains stable at 35%, and the New Democratic Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 42% ▼1 LPC 35% CPC 9% ▲1 NDP 7% BQ 3% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-02-01 338Canada.com
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201 LPC 105 CPC 27 BQ 8 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 5 2 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 7 3 QC 41 27 9 1 ON 91 28 2 1 MB 7 6 1 SK 11 3 AB 27 9 1 BC 21 19 2 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Liaison Strategies federal poll February 1, 2026 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Liaison Strategies




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 57% ▲3 LPC 35% CPC 7% ▲1 NDP 1% ▼2 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-02-01 338Canada.com
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Quebec 39% ▲1 LPC 30% ▼3 BQ 21% ▲1 CPC 7% ▲1 NDP 2% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-02-01 338Canada.com
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Ontario 47% ▼1 LPC 35% CPC 11% NDP 4% ▲1 PPC 3% ▲2 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-02-01 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 45% ▼3 CPC 33% ▲1 LPC 10% ▲1 NDP 3% ▲1 PPC 1% ▼2 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-02-01 338Canada.com
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Alberta 52% ▲17 CPC 33% LPC 5% ▲3 NDP 3% PPC 2% ▼4 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-02-01 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 42% LPC 40% ▲2 CPC 11% NDP 4% GPC 1% ▼2 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-02-01 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 47% ▲1 LPC 32% CPC 8% NDP 6% ▼1 BQ 3% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-02-01 338Canada.com
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Male voters 40% LPC 37% ▼1 CPC 10% ▲1 NDP 7% BQ 2% ▼1 GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-02-01 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 40% CPC 38% ▼2 LPC 7% NDP 5% BQ 5% ▲1 GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-02-01 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 41% ▲1 LPC 38% ▲1 CPC 9% NDP 8% BQ 1% ▲1 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-02-01 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 49% LPC 30% ▼1 CPC 7% ▲1 NDP 6% ▼1 BQ 3% ▼1 GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-02-01 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 42% ▲1 LPC 31% CPC 13% ▲1 NDP 8% ▼1 BQ 3% ▲1 PPC 1% ▼1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-02-01 338Canada.com
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Government approval 62% ▼2 Approve 33% Disapprove 5% ▲2 Neutral/Unsure Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-02-01 338Canada.com
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Liaison Strategies Government approval tracker 62% 33%2026-02-01 64% 33%2026-01-25 62% 33%2026-01-18 57% 36%2026-01-11 56% 37%2026-01-07 55% 39%2025-12-30 56% 40%2025-12-24 57% 39%2025-12-20 59% 36%2025-11-29 61% 34%2025-11-08 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 53% ▼3 Negative / unfavourable 39% ▲2 Positive / favourable 8% ▲1 Neutral / Unsure Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-02-01 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 39% 53%2026-02-01 37% 56%2026-01-25 37% 57%2026-01-18 38% 54%2025-09-20 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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