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About this Pallas Data federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Pallas Data in October 2025, with a middle field date of October 14, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,206 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±2.8%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Pallas Data (July 2025), the Liberal Party loses two points from 43% to 41% (variation similar to moe), the Conservative Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party climbs three points from 8% to 11%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 41% ▼2 LPC 37% ▼1 CPC 11% ▲3 NDP 6% BQ 3% ▲1 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-10-14 338Canada.com
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184 LPC 121 CPC 23 BQ 13 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 7 3 QC 43 23 11 1 ON 74 44 3 1 MB 7 5 2 SK 13 1 AB 33 2 2 BC 26 12 4 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Pallas Data federal poll October 14, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Pallas Data




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 56% ▼11 LPC 30% ▲1 CPC 9% ▲7 NDP 5% ▲4 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-10-14 338Canada.com
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Quebec 40% ▼2 LPC 26% ▼1 BQ 23% ▲3 CPC 6% ▼1 NDP 2% GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-10-14 338Canada.com
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Ontario 45% ▼2 LPC 38% ▼3 CPC 11% ▲5 NDP 4% ▲2 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-10-14 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 48% ▼7 CPC 32% ▼3 LPC 15% ▲5 NDP 1% ▲1 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-10-14 338Canada.com
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Alberta 56% ▼8 CPC 23% ▲2 LPC 14% ▲5 NDP Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-10-14 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 46% LPC 38% ▲5 CPC 15% ▲2 NDP Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-10-14 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 46% LPC 30% CPC 15% NDP 6% BQ 2% GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-10-14 338Canada.com
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Male voters 45% CPC 37% LPC 7% BQ 6% NDP 3% GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-10-14 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 47% CPC 25% LPC 14% NDP 7% BQ 4% GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-10-14 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 41% CPC 36% LPC 13% NDP 5% BQ 2% GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-10-14 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 51% LPC 32% CPC 8% NDP 7% BQ 3% GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-10-14 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 56% LPC 27% CPC 8% NDP 7% BQ 1% GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-10-14 338Canada.com
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