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About this Liaison Strategies federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Liaison Strategies in December 2025, with a middle field date of December 24, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,000 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Liaison Strategies (December 2025), the Liberal Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 39% ▲1 LPC 37% ▼1 CPC 11% ▼1 NDP 7% BQ 3% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-24 338Canada.com
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162 LPC 132 CPC 32 BQ 15 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 4 3 PEI 4 NS 9 2 NB 6 4 QC 37 32 8 1 ON 78 40 3 1 MB 7 5 2 SK 10 4 AB 35 1 1 BC 25 10 7 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Liaison Strategies federal poll December 24, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Liaison Strategies




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 44% LPC 33% ▼4 CPC 11% NDP 5% ▲2 PPC 4% ▲1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-24 338Canada.com
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Quebec 37% ▲2 LPC 33% ▲2 BQ 20% ▼3 CPC 8% ▼1 NDP 1% ▼1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-24 338Canada.com
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Ontario 45% ▲2 LPC 37% ▼1 CPC 11% ▼2 NDP 3% ▲1 GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-24 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 46% ▼9 CPC 34% ▲5 LPC 12% ▲3 NDP 5% ▲3 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-24 338Canada.com
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Alberta 64% ▲2 CPC 24% ▲2 LPC 7% ▲1 NDP 2% ▼1 GPC 2% ▼3 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-24 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 42% ▲6 CPC 37% ▼3 LPC 17% ▼2 NDP 3% ▼1 GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-24 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 40% ▲2 LPC 37% ▼1 CPC 10% ▼2 NDP 7% BQ 3% ▲1 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-24 338Canada.com
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Male voters 38% ▼1 CPC 37% ▲1 LPC 12% ▼1 NDP 8% ▲1 BQ 2% ▼1 GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-24 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 41% ▼2 CPC 34% ▲2 LPC 11% ▼1 NDP 6% BQ 3% GPC 3% ▲2 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-24 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 43% ▲2 CPC 32% ▼1 LPC 14% NDP 8% BQ 2% PPC 1% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-24 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 45% ▲1 LPC 35% ▼3 CPC 8% NDP 7% ▲1 BQ 2% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-24 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 44% ▲3 LPC 30% ▲1 CPC 12% ▼2 NDP 9% BQ 4% GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-24 338Canada.com
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Government approval 56% ▼1 Approve 40% ▲1 Disapprove 4% Neutral/Unsure Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-24 338Canada.com
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Liaison Strategies Government approval tracker 56% 40%2025-12-24 57% 39%2025-12-20 59% 36%2025-11-29 61% 34%2025-11-08 62% 32%2025-11-02 60% 35%2025-09-20 61% 33%2025-08-26 64% 32%2025-08-07 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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