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About this Pallas Data federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Pallas Data in July 2025, with a middle field date of July 31, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,301 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±2.7%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Pallas Data (April 2025), the Liberal Party remains stable at 43%, the Conservative Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 43% LPC 38% ▼1 CPC 8% ▲1 NDP 6% BQ 2% GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-07-31 338Canada.com
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185 LPC 122 CPC 24 BQ 10 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 9 1 QC 44 24 9 1 ON 70 50 1 1 MB 7 6 1 SK 13 1 AB 36 1 BC 31 6 5 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Pallas Data federal poll July 31, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Pallas Data




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 67% ▲10 LPC 29% ▼5 CPC 2% ▼6 NDP 1% GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-07-31 338Canada.com
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Quebec 42% ▲1 LPC 27% ▼1 BQ 20% ▼2 CPC 7% ▲2 NDP 2% ▼1 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-07-31 338Canada.com
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Ontario 47% ▼4 LPC 41% ▲1 CPC 6% NDP 2% GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-07-31 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 55% ▼7 CPC 35% ▲8 LPC 10% NDP Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-07-31 338Canada.com
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Alberta 64% ▼2 CPC 21% LPC 9% ▲1 NDP 1% ▼1 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-07-31 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 46% ▲1 LPC 33% ▼1 CPC 13% NDP 7% ▲4 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-07-31 338Canada.com
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