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About this Liaison Strategies federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Liaison Strategies in January 2026, with a middle field date of January 18, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,000 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Liaison Strategies (January 2026), the Liberal Party climbs two points from 40% to 42% (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 42% ▲2 LPC 34% ▼1 CPC 10% ▼1 NDP 8% BQ 3% GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-18 338Canada.com
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200 LPC 90 CPC 37 BQ 14 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 6 1 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 7 3 QC 37 32 8 1 ON 95 23 3 1 MB 7 5 2 SK 9 5 AB 34 2 1 BC 29 7 6 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Liaison Strategies federal poll January 18, 2026 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Liaison Strategies




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 53% ▲1 LPC 30% CPC 9% ▼2 NDP 3% GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-18 338Canada.com
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Quebec 37% ▲2 BQ 35% ▼1 LPC 18% CPC 6% ▼1 NDP 3% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-18 338Canada.com
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Ontario 48% ▲1 LPC 35% ▼1 CPC 12% ▼1 NDP 2% PPC 1% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-18 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 43% ▼1 CPC 33% LPC 12% ▲1 NDP 5% PPC 3% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-18 338Canada.com
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Alberta 58% ▼3 CPC 27% ▲2 LPC 5% ▼2 NDP 4% GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-18 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 44% ▲4 LPC 33% ▼3 CPC 12% ▼4 NDP 5% GPC 4% ▲3 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-18 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 42% ▲1 LPC 32% ▼2 CPC 10% ▼2 NDP 8% BQ 2% GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-18 338Canada.com
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Male voters 41% ▲2 LPC 34% ▼2 CPC 9% ▼2 NDP 8% BQ 3% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-18 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 40% ▲2 LPC 37% ▼1 CPC 10% ▼2 NDP 7% BQ 3% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-18 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 36% ▲2 LPC 36% ▼4 CPC 9% ▲1 BQ 9% ▼2 NDP 3% ▲2 PPC 2% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-18 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 49% LPC 32% ▼1 CPC 7% BQ 7% ▼1 NDP 3% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-18 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 41% ▼1 LPC 29% CPC 13% NDP 11% ▲1 BQ 3% GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-18 338Canada.com
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Government approval 62% ▲5 Approve 33% ▼3 Disapprove 5% ▼2 Neutral/Unsure Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-18 338Canada.com
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Liaison Strategies Government approval tracker 62% 33%2026-01-18 57% 36%2026-01-11 56% 37%2026-01-07 55% 39%2025-12-30 56% 40%2025-12-24 57% 39%2025-12-20 59% 36%2025-11-29 61% 34%2025-11-08 62% 32%2025-11-02 60% 35%2025-09-20 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 57% ▲3 Negative / unfavourable 37% ▼1 Positive / favourable 6% ▼2 Neutral / Unsure Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-01-18 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 37% 57%2026-01-18 38% 54%2025-09-20 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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