logo
Canada

About this Liaison Strategies federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Liaison Strategies in December 2025, with a middle field date of December 30, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,000 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Liaison Strategies (December 2025), the Liberal Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party remains stable at 37%, and the New Democratic Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 38% ▼1 LPC 37% CPC 12% ▲1 NDP 7% BQ 3% GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-30 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!

158 LPC 137 CPC 31 BQ 15 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 5 2 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 6 4 QC 38 31 8 1 ON 68 50 3 1 MB 7 5 2 SK 12 2 AB 36 1 BC 20 15 7 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Liaison Strategies federal poll December 30, 2025 🍁
✓ Copied!
Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Liaison Strategies




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 49% ▲5 LPC 33% CPC 13% ▲2 NDP 2% ▼2 GPC 2% ▼3 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-30 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!
Quebec 37% LPC 31% ▼2 BQ 21% ▲1 CPC 9% ▲1 NDP 2% ▲1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-30 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!
Ontario 42% ▼3 LPC 38% ▲1 CPC 11% NDP 4% ▲1 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-30 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!

Manitoba/Saskatchewan 46% CPC 33% ▼1 LPC 15% ▲3 NDP 5% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-30 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!
Alberta 64% CPC 23% ▼1 LPC 8% ▲1 NDP 3% ▲1 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-30 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!
British Columbia 39% ▼3 CPC 36% ▼1 LPC 21% ▲4 NDP 2% ▼1 GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-30 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 40% LPC 37% CPC 11% ▲1 NDP 7% BQ 3% GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-30 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!
Male voters 38% CPC 36% ▼1 LPC 14% ▲2 NDP 7% ▼1 BQ 2% GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-30 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!


Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 38% ▼3 CPC 34% LPC 13% ▲2 NDP 6% BQ 4% ▲1 PPC 3% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-30 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!
35-49 years old 44% ▲1 CPC 32% LPC 12% ▼2 NDP 7% ▼1 BQ 3% ▲2 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-30 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!

50-64 years old 45% LPC 36% ▲1 CPC 10% ▲2 NDP 7% BQ 1% ▼1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-30 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!
65+ years old 42% ▼2 LPC 32% ▲2 CPC 13% ▲1 NDP 8% ▼1 BQ 4% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-30 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!



Government approval 55% ▼1 Approve 39% ▼1 Disapprove 6% ▲2 Neutral/Unsure Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-30 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!
Liaison Strategies Government approval tracker 55% 39%2025-12-30 56% 40%2025-12-24 57% 39%2025-12-20 59% 36%2025-11-29 61% 34%2025-11-08 62% 32%2025-11-02 60% 35%2025-09-20 61% 33%2025-08-26 64% 32%2025-08-07 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
✓ Copied!




Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Loading…


P#1001