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Canada

About this poll


This federal poll was fielded by Liaison Strategies in December 2025, with a middle field date of December 30, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,000 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Liaison Strategies (December 2025), the Liberal Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party remains stable at 37%, and the New Democratic Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.

Canada 38% ▼1 LPC 37% CPC 12% ▲1 NDP 7% BQ 3% GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-30 338Canada.com

Past federal polls from Liaison Strategies

LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ PPC Voting intentions % 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 2025-04-25 LPC 44% CPC 41% NDP 6% BQ 6% PPC 1% GPC 1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-27 LPC 43% CPC 41% NDP 7% BQ 6% PPC 1% GPC 1% 2025-04-27 2025-08-07 LPC 44% CPC 35% NDP 11% BQ 6% GPC 3% PPC 1% 2025-08-07 2025-08-26 LPC 44% CPC 35% NDP 10% BQ 5% PPC 2% GPC 2% 2025-08-26 2025-09-20 LPC 43% CPC 37% NDP 10% BQ 5% PPC 2% GPC 2% 2025-09-20 2025-11-02 LPC 42% CPC 38% NDP 11% BQ 5% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-11-02 2025-11-08 LPC 44% CPC 36% NDP 10% BQ 6% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-11-08 2025-11-29 LPC 41% CPC 36% NDP 12% BQ 5% PPC 2% GPC 2% 2025-11-29 2025-12-20 CPC 38% LPC 38% NDP 12% BQ 7% GPC 3% PPC 2% 2025-12-20 2025-12-24 LPC 39% CPC 37% NDP 11% BQ 7% GPC 3% PPC 2% 2025-12-24 2025-12-30 LPC 38% CPC 37% NDP 12% BQ 7% GPC 3% PPC 1% 2025-12-30 January 4, 2026
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Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 49% ▲5 LPC 33% CPC 13% ▲2 NDP 2% ▼3 PPC 2% ▼2 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-30 338Canada.com
Quebec 37% LPC 31% ▼2 BQ 21% ▲1 CPC 9% ▲1 NDP 2% ▲1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-30 338Canada.com
Ontario 42% ▼3 LPC 38% ▲1 CPC 11% NDP 4% ▲1 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-30 338Canada.com

Manitoba/Saskatchewan 46% CPC 33% ▼1 LPC 15% ▲3 NDP 5% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-30 338Canada.com
Alberta 64% CPC 23% ▼1 LPC 8% ▲1 NDP 3% ▲1 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-30 338Canada.com
British Columbia 39% ▼3 CPC 36% ▼1 LPC 21% ▲4 NDP 2% ▼1 GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-30 338Canada.com


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 40% LPC 37% CPC 11% ▲1 NDP 7% BQ 3% GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-30 338Canada.com
Male voters 38% CPC 36% ▼1 LPC 14% ▲2 NDP 7% ▼1 BQ 2% GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-30 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 38% ▼3 CPC 34% LPC 13% ▲2 NDP 6% BQ 4% ▲1 PPC 3% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-30 338Canada.com
35-49 years old 44% ▲1 CPC 32% LPC 12% ▼2 NDP 7% ▼1 BQ 3% ▲2 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-30 338Canada.com

50-64 years old 45% LPC 36% ▲1 CPC 10% ▲2 NDP 7% BQ 1% ▼1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-30 338Canada.com
65+ years old 42% ▼2 LPC 32% ▲2 CPC 13% ▲1 NDP 8% ▼1 BQ 4% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-30 338Canada.com



Government approval 55% Approve 39% Disapprove 6% Neutral/Unsure Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-12-30 338Canada.com
Liaison Strategies Government approval tracker 55% 39%2025-12-30 56% 40%2025-12-24 57% 39%2025-12-20 59% 36%2025-11-29 61% 34%2025-11-08 62% 32%2025-11-02 60% 35%2025-09-20 61% 33%2025-08-26 64% 32%2025-08-07 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove




P#1001