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About this Liaison Strategies federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Liaison Strategies in August 2025, with a middle field date of August 7, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,000 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Liaison Strategies (April 2025), the Liberal Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party loses six points from 41% to 35%, and the New Democratic Party climbs four points from 7% to 11%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 44% ▲1 LPC 35% ▼6 CPC 11% ▲4 NDP 6% BQ 3% ▲2 GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-08-07 338Canada.com
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204 LPC 106 CPC 16 BQ 15 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 9 1 QC 54 16 7 1 ON 85 33 3 1 MB 7 5 2 SK 13 1 AB 34 2 1 BC 22 13 7 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Liaison Strategies federal poll August 7, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Liaison Strategies




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 55% ▼2 LPC 25% ▼7 CPC 10% ▲5 NDP 5% ▲2 GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-08-07 338Canada.com
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Quebec 47% ▲3 LPC 25% BQ 19% ▼4 CPC 7% ▲1 NDP Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-08-07 338Canada.com
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Ontario 47% ▼1 LPC 36% ▼7 CPC 12% ▲6 NDP 3% ▲1 GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-08-07 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 49% ▼3 CPC 32% ▼2 LPC 13% ▲4 NDP 5% ▲2 GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-08-07 338Canada.com
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Alberta 59% ▼6 CPC 27% LPC 8% ▲3 NDP 2% ▲1 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-08-07 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 42% LPC 37% ▼6 CPC 17% ▲5 NDP 4% ▲1 GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-08-07 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 47% LPC 35% ▼5 CPC 9% ▲4 NDP 4% BQ 2% GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-08-07 338Canada.com
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Male voters 41% ▲1 LPC 34% ▼7 CPC 13% ▲4 NDP 9% ▲1 BQ 2% ▲1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-08-07 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 44% LPC 38% ▼5 CPC 10% ▲5 NDP 3% BQ 2% ▲1 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-08-07 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 39% LPC 37% ▼7 CPC 13% ▲5 NDP 6% BQ 2% ▲1 GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-08-07 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 47% ▲2 LPC 33% ▼6 CPC 9% ▲3 NDP 6% BQ 3% ▲1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-08-07 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 45% LPC 30% ▼5 CPC 11% ▲2 NDP 8% ▲1 BQ 4% ▲2 GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-08-07 338Canada.com
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Government approval 64% Approve 32% Disapprove 4% Neutral/Unsure Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-08-07 338Canada.com
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Liaison Strategies Government approval tracker 64% 32%2025-08-07 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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