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About this EKOS federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by EKOS in November 2025, with a middle field date of November 9, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,191 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±2.8%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from EKOS (November 2025), the Liberal Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party loses three points from 36% to 33%, and the New Democratic Party climbs three points from 8% to 11%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 44% ▲1 LPC 33% ▼3 CPC 11% ▲3 NDP 5% ▼1 BQ 3% ▼1 GPC 2% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-11-09 338Canada.com
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202 LPC 108 CPC 18 BQ 13 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 7 3 QC 53 18 6 1 ON 70 48 3 1 MB 6 5 3 SK 13 1 AB 21 14 2 BC 20 19 3 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on EKOS federal poll November 9, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from EKOS




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 58% ▲9 LPC 32% ▼11 CPC 6% ▼1 NDP 4% ▲2 GPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-11-09 338Canada.com
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Quebec 46% ▲7 LPC 25% ▼1 BQ 14% ▼13 CPC 9% ▲7 NDP 3% ▲3 GPC 1% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-11-09 338Canada.com
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Ontario 45% ▼1 LPC 40% ▲2 CPC 10% NDP 2% ▼1 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-11-09 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 43% ▲10 CPC 28% ▼15 LPC 22% ▲5 NDP 5% ▼1 GPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-11-09 338Canada.com
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Alberta 41% ▲4 LPC 35% ▼16 CPC 10% ▲1 NDP 5% ▲4 GPC 4% ▲3 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-11-09 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 41% ▼6 LPC 39% ▲6 CPC 12% ▲6 NDP 5% ▼7 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-11-09 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 52% ▲2 LPC 23% ▼6 CPC 13% ▲5 NDP 6% ▼1 BQ 3% ▼2 GPC 1% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-11-09 338Canada.com
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Male voters 44% ▲2 CPC 37% ▼1 LPC 8% NDP 5% BQ 3% ▲1 GPC 2% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-11-09 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 37% ▲1 LPC 35% ▲1 CPC 19% ▲6 NDP 5% ▼5 GPC 3% ▲2 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-11-09 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 41% ▲11 LPC 36% ▼8 CPC 11% ▲1 NDP 6% ▼1 BQ 3% GPC 2% ▼1 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-11-09 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 45% ▼4 LPC 34% ▼3 CPC 10% ▲3 BQ 8% ▲4 NDP 2% ▲2 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-11-09 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 56% ▼4 LPC 27% ▲2 CPC 7% ▼1 BQ 5% NDP 3% ▲2 GPC 1% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-11-09 338Canada.com
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